Offshore
wind power still has great potential
16:36
Many large corporations want to develop offshore wind
power projects in Vietnam, but existing bottlenecks have made them hesitant
to proceed.
Under the
Prime Minister’s Decision No 39 fixing wind power prices, offshore wind power
is sold to the Electricity of Vietnam (EVN) at VND2,223 per kwh, or 9.8 cent.
However, the price will no longer be applied after October 31, 2021. The
development of offshore wind power is still on paper. Liming Qiao
from QWEC said at a recent online workshop that Vietnam is leading Southeast
Asia in terms of offshore potential, with 160GW of usable technical potential
in offshore wind power. However, in
the draft of the eighth national electricity development plan, Vietnam set a
very modest target for offshore wind power development, just 2,000-3,000 MW
by 2030. According to
an expert, Vietnam is capable of having 10 GW prior to 2030 and the figure
should be set as the target. Commenting
about wind power prices around the world, she said that current prices have
become much lower than previously. The cost will decrease when the total
installation capacity in the market reaches a certain threshold. However, it
is not easy to develop offshore wind power. Investors may have to spend 5-6
years on the development process, two years on the installation. A project
can operate for 25 years. Most offshore wind power farms are located 60
kilometers off the coast, with average wind speed of 9 meters per second and
water depth of up to over 50 meters. Andrew Ho
from Denmark’s Orsted said once international investors are interested in a
market, they want to see stable policies to plan their long-term investments
in that market. This can be
attained through regular dialogue with the Government and local authorities.
The Government needs to set up a transparent legal framework for offshore
wind power, because it is very difficult to build offshore wind farms, and is
also difficult to transmit power ashore. In order to do these things,
investors need to discuss this with many parties, including the Government,
electricity buyers and local agencies. In some
countries, foreign investors only have to only contact one agency authorized
by the State to deal with the issues related to offshore wind power
development. This is great for investors, as the State shares risks with
investors which helps cut the electricity production cost, thus benefiting
both the parties, he said. Which price?
QWEC
suggested the Government of Vietnam continue applying the current price of
9.8 cent per kwh for the first 4,000-5,000 MW. “The Feed in
Tariff (FIT) price will expire this November and the time from now to that
day is not enough to calculate how high the next FIT price should be.
However, enterprises can continue making investments with the current FIT if
it is extended,” said Liming Qiao. She believes
that after obtaining 5,000 MW of offshore wind power, Vietnam can shift to
applying the bidding mechanism. Bernard
Casey from Mainstream Vietnam said Ministry of Industry and Trade last year
proposed that Government extend the FIT for two more years. The proposal has
also been applauded by investors. However, the Government has not given an
exact answer about whether to extend the FIT. According to
Sebastian Haid Buhl from Orsted, bidding does not always bring good prices,
i.e. lower than FIT. If there is no transition period, bidding prices will be
even higher than FIT. Maya Malik,
CEO of La Gan Offshore Wind Power Project, said that Vietnam doesn’t have
supply chains, and its policies are not clear enough and it is difficult to use
PPA (power purchase agreement) to borrow capital. All of this
makes it difficult to make financial calculations for the project. If the
power price is not high, it will be difficult to implement the project. She stressed
the need to have a transitional period before applying bidding. According to
an expert, to make profit, an offshore wind power project needs to have a
scale of 400-500 MW and investment capital of $800-1 million or higher. The
time needed to implement such a project is 5-7 years, from the beginning of
development to operation. Who will
build seaports to serve offshore wind power projects and install transmission
lines to transmit electricity ashore? Maya Malik
affirmed that the investor is ready to build transmission lines and would
like EVN to upgrade the onshore grid to be capable of loading the project’s
capacity. Sebastian
also said if waiting for state’s companies to build transmission lines linking
the mainland and the sea, the project will be delayed, so the investor would
rather build transmission lines itself. The 9.8 cent per kwh is high enough
to allow investors to do this. However, the onshore national grid also needs
to be upgraded. As such,
many foreign investors have shown their interest in Vietnam’s offshore wind
power. They will consult with the Ministry of National Defence before
following the next procedures to register projects, and strictly observe all
the requirements to be set up by the ministry, ‘if the issues are
transparent’. Meanwhile,
some experts still are cautious about offshore wind power projects, saying
that a lot of questions remain unanswered. For example, it will be not easy
for project developers and EVN to negotiate the conditions to reduce
generation capacity if the national grid doesn’t use up all the wind power
capacity. They also
said that offshore wind power is not cheap. The currently applied FIT price
of VND2,223 per kwh is much higher than the average retail price of
VND1,864.44 per kwh. There are still many things to consider when developing
offshore wind power, which is clean and stable. VNN/Luong Bang |
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