VN can meet 6.8% growth target in 2017: Forbes
HÀ NỘI - Việt Nam will keep attracting
investment, expanding export production and watching domestic consumption
spread in 2017, according to Forbes’ forecast.
The country
can also meet its economic growth target of 6.8 per cent set by the
Government thanks to these advantages, Forbes said.
According
to Forbes, US President-elect Donald Trump is expected to scrap Trans-Pacific
Partnership (TPP), the 12-nation trade agreement that would particularly
help member Việt Nam as an exporter. However, there are some who suspect
Trump will somehow salvage it.
If not,
according to Forbes, Việt Nam already takes part in 16 free trade agreements
(FTAs), including with economic powerhouses China and Japan. It can pursue
bilateral agreements with other TPP members if the US Congress declines to
ratify the deal signed in 2016.
Việt Nam is
also on the list to join a Chinese-championed Regional Comprehensive Economic
Partnership trading group that would encompass 30 per cent of the world’s GDP.
Besides
this, Việt Nam will also keep giving foreign companies reasons to invest,
Forbes said, adding that foreign investors already benefit from lower
tariffs under the trade deals. Some also get lavish tax breaks.
In 2015,
the country made its rules on foreign investment clearer and sped up permit
processing.
Last year
was a “transition year” for those changes, and in 2017, Việt Nam will start
to “collect the fruits of having a more structured and competitive business
legislation, which has had an impact on attracting more FDI and also helped
Việt Nam become one of the major manufacturing hubs in the world,” Forbes
quoted Oscar Mussons, international business advisory associate with Dezan
Shira & Associates consultancy in HCM City, as saying.
In
addition, Vietnamese people are getting richer and spending more. The
country’s middle class will double by 2020 to 33 million people and that
means more consumption, the Boston Consulting Group estimated last year.
People in that group earn at least US$714 per month, enough for phones,
motorcycles, travel and health products, items that usually make the short
list of local consumer preferences.
The middle
class has got where it is because wages are rising along with a boom in jobs
linked to growth in export manufacturing.
According
to Forbes, factory work in Việt Nam is moving up in value from traditional
industries. High-tech’s share of total exports from the country
reached 25 per cent in 2015 from five per cent in 2010 and kept going last
year, with no signs of abating currently.
Investments
by electronics giants Hon Hai Precision, Intel and Samsung – worth billions
of dollars – have led the shift. Samsung Display is
considering a new $2.5 billion investment in a project already worth about $4
billion, according to a stock market research firm in Hà Nội.
Electronics
are replacing traditional industries, such as garments and shoes, production
of which is slowly moving to other Asian countries.
Policymakers
in Việt Nam aim to increase annual export value by 8-10 per cent this year,
Louie Nguyen, editor and founder of the news website Vietnam Advisors, said.
The trend will bring new skills, higher wages and more revenue for those
companies making high-value products.
Private
business is, meanwhile, expanding and doing more kinds of work in Việt Nam. - VNS
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Thứ Hai, 9 tháng 1, 2017
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