Party
keeps faith with Gillard but will Australia's voters?
By Monica Attard for CNN
Kevin
Rudd (right) has declined to challenge Prime Minister Julia Gillard (left)
for the Australian leadership.
Editor's note: Monica Attard is a former journalist and
Russia correspondent with the Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC). She
is an author and lawyer and has won multiple awards for her journalism.
Sydney, Australia (CNN) -- All that is old is new again in
the world of Australian politics. The weather might be generally pleasant,
but the way the nation plays politics is brutal.
The country was briefly thrown into turmoil Thursday when
Premier Julia Gillard opened the leadership of the ruling Australian Labor
Party -- and the prime ministership -- to a vote of the parliamentary party,
the second in little over a year.
In the end, the man the prime minister ousted in 2010, Kevin
Rudd, didn't put his hand up for the job despite all expectations. He said
his decision was born of altruism: he had promised after his failed challenge
in February 2012 that he wouldn't ever do so again.
"I take my word seriously," he said.
But deeply unpopular within the parliamentary party,
Rudd clearly did not have the numbers to win a challenge.
The only person who nominated for the leadership was Gillard
herself. Both she and her deputy, Treasurer Wayne Swan, were unanimously
re-elected by their parliamentary colleagues to lead the party and the
nation.
Whether the ballot ends the discontent that has been festering
within the ALP since June 2010, when Gillard tossed Rudd out of office is
doubtful, despite what she said after the vote.
"This whole business is completely at an end," she
declared.
Whether the ballot pleases Australian voters who, poll after
poll, have declared their displeasure with the prime minister and their
support for Rudd, is also doubtful. The answer will only become definitively
known on September 14, when Australians go to the polls to give their verdict
on the Gillard government. The latest Neilson poll puts Labor's share of the primary
vote at 31%, which would leave the ALP, and with it Australia's
first female leader, spectacularly trounced.
But some things are certain: the Australian premier is feisty
and determined, if not popular. And the ballot result was far less
sensational than the events leading up to it.
It was one of her most senior ministers, ALP veteran Simon
Crean, who burst what had become a festering blister of leadership
discontent.
"I don't want any more games, I'm sick to death of it,
it's about time he (Rudd) stood up and instead of having his camp leak
things, actually have the courage of his conviction and his beliefs,"
Crean declared.
Crean was amongst a group who had voted for Gillard in the
last challenge but changed allegiance. Curiously, before his intervention,
Crean had not consulted Rudd to ensure he would challenge. Crean has now been
sacked and others who were similarly eager for Rudd to challenge may follow.
It's been a dramatic week for the Labor Party that has left
the Opposition leader, the leader of the Greens and the independents, upon
which the government relies for support, scratching their heads and asking
what is going on.
Earlier, the government had tried to introduce a tranche of
contentious media reform bills that failed to win support despite the prime
minister herself, known for her persuasive skills, taking over negotiation
with crucial independent parliamentary members. Her ability to salvage the
bills was widely seen as a test of her leadership. The negotiations
collapsed.
This failure compounded the destabilization within the ALP
that hasn't abated since the 2010 ousting of Rudd by a deputy who had so
often declared her loyalty to a leader who had delivered the party a thumping
victory in 2007.
At the time, Gillard justified the ousting of a sitting prime
minister by saying "a good government had lost its way." But the
removal of Rudd left a stunned nation deeply skeptical of its new leader. Few
believed she had not planned the coup. In the election she called in late
2010, Gillard failed to win outright and for the first time since 1940, Australia is
ruled by a minority government.
The Chinese-speaking Rudd, relegated to foreign minister, was
regularly accused of plotting against his successor. It was Crean, who has
now turned on Gillard and paid with his job, who called for Rudd's sacking at
the time.
'The message that
the people of Australia
have received from this government is that nothing is resolved, the civil war
goes on.
Tony
Abbot, oppostion leader'
Rudd resigned, regrouped and challenged his successor for the
leadership in February 2012. But he failed to secure the support he needed to
snatch back the prime ministership and promised to end the animosity.
But even from the backbench, his rock star visibility has been
extraordinary. He has garnered a huge social media following and is a
prolific Tweeter. Rudd has also been a public event opportunist, appearing at
schools, fetes and various other events, justifying every public outing as an
act of devotion to the fight to keep the opposition from snatching victory.
All the while, Prime Minister Gillard battled not only bad
public polling and an omnipresent predecessor but also the perception of
trustworthiness. Having promised before the 2010 election she would not
introduce a carbon tax, she subsequently did so. There were also unfounded
claims about her role in a union backed slush fund decades before she entered
parliament.
A brief reprieve came in October 2012 when Gillard delivered a
blistering speech attacking the opposition leader Tony Abbott for what she
called his misogyny.
Despite her popularity woes and mutterings that the ALP could
not win the September 14 election with Gillard in the saddle, her government
has managed to keep Australia
economically sound. Although it was under Rudd's management that Australia
escaped the worst of the global financial crisis in 2008 and 2009, Prime
Minister Gillard has maintained the country's sound economic credentials,
with steady growth and low unemployment. Her minority government has
introduced a national disability insurance scheme and appears on track to
usher in education reform.
Even her detractors laud her determination and strength.
As the prime minister entered parliament after Crean's
intervention, she declared the leadership ballot, mooted Crean's departure
and goaded the opposition.
"Take your best shot," she angrily declared.
The Opposition leader immediately moved a vote of no
confidence, which would trigger an immediate election.
Abbott delivered his best shot.
"For your party's good, you should go," he told her.
"For our countries good, you should go. You should
go."
The no confidence motion never came to a vote because the
government called for its suspension and narrowly won.
Government ministers are now on the media talk circuit. One
after another, cabinet ministers are declaring "it is over."
But on a bizarre day when very little is known about the
motives or logic of any of the players, it is clear the Gillard government's
troubles are far from over. Few believe the divisions with her party have
been healed simply because Rudd did not garner the support he needed to
challenge her.
"The message that the people of Australia
have received from this government is that nothing is resolved, the civil war
goes on," said Abbott, calling for an immediate election.
"The civil war will continue as long as Kevin Rudd and
Julia Gillard are in the Parliament."
All eyes now are on the independents that keep the government
propped up. Three of five voted to debate the no confidence motion.
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