East Sea:
is there undermining conspiracy, provocation?
Vietnamese remind themselves to keep calm
and rational on East
Sea issues. Vietnamese
condemn only the illegal acts ordered by the Chinese authorities and they
understand that those Chinese who love peace are Vietnamese friends.
Little chips lighted two world wars
China's HD-981 rig. Photo: Xinhua
The assassination of Grand Duke Franz Ferdinand by a
Serb nationalist in June 1911 was described as the “straw that broke the
camel’s back”, igniting World War I.
World’s War II also started from seemingly minor
events, including the xenophobic wave (against German and German speaking
people) in the territories which then belonged to Czechoslovakia
and later Poland.
However, both the world’s wars originated from big and
underlying reasons – the countries’ internal contradictions, the conflicts
among the nations.
At that time, a new influence jumped into the
geopolitical chessboard and quickly made some old unrivalled conquerors
“legends of the past”.
This is the case of the Commonwealth of the United States and the country’s wars it
launched with Spain.
After the fighting between the two, Puerto Rico and the Philippines, which had been Spanish colonies,
became members of the Commonwealth of the United States.
It is worth noting that both the world wars had the
involvement of the US
and the German thirst for becoming a hegemonic power.
Historians stress that World War II broke out just
after limited military conflicts. This was a “strange war”, where the British
Empire and France had
signed a pact on protecting Czechoslovakia.
They declared war on Germany
after Czechoslovakia
was invaded by the Germans, but then did nothing.
The US
only entered the war after the Pearl Habor event in December 1941. It only
fought with Japan on a
limited scale and gave weapons and support to Britain
and the Soviet Union. As for the Soviet Union, the support was carried out under the
lend-lease contracts for which the Russians had to pay in gold later.
China attempts to
become an influence
The People’s Republic of China, since its establishment in
October 1949, has never stood up together with other countries in
multilateral close alliances. In other words, it admits vassals and takes
care not to let the vassals grow up. And of course, it does not want to be
inferior to anyone.
While Yugoslavia
got separated from the East Eastern socialist countries’ bloc to follow its
own way of development, China
also got split from the community, becoming a confronter with the Soviet Union. A rift in relations between the two
countries developed, the pinnacle of which was the Vietnam-China border
conflict in 1979.
During that time, China
took diplomatic steps with clear calculations with the US. However,
it always kept the relationship at a restricted level. While it tried to
expand the economic relationship, it still kept up its guard.
The 10-year Vietnam-China military confrontation ended
temporarily 25 years ago. The time since then has been long enough for China to
develop and turn into the second largest economy in the world, becoming the
world’s base of production and thinking of expanding its influence around the
globe.
China is
attempting to become an influence in the world. And the deployment of the oil
rig in the Vietnamese waters is a step of its plan to become a new power.
Vietnam vows to
protect Vietnamese assets
It is obvious that the enterprises set up in Vietnamese
territories, even though they are invested by Chinese, are Vietnamese assets.
Under current law, the foreign-invested enterprises in Vietnam must
be listed as Vietnamese, not foreign. As these are Vietnamese assets, Vietnamese
have to protect them and keep them for the country and for Vietnam’s
future.
This is the legitimate right of Vietnam.
Similar things have happened in history. After the first World War, Russia, or the Soviet Union since 1920,
conducted negotiations with Germany
about how to treat the assets Germans developed in Russia before the war.
News has been spread out on Internet that the workers
in Binh Duong
Province have damaged the workshops
and factories invested by Chinese and Taiwan. But local newspapers have
reported that they only went on strike to protest against the Chinese illegal
acts.
Law enforcement and government agencies say they have
found out that the destruction was caused by “suspicious people”.
The US
got involved in World War I and World War II step by step. Therefore,
observers believe that the US
will not get involved right now in the East Sea’s
conflict. However, if the conflict expands and affects other countries in the
region, including those with US alliances, the involvement of the US is very
likely.
Meanwhile, analysts say, Russia,
a country with many existing territorial disputes with China, surely does not like a changeable
neighbor like China.
At present, China is Russia’s
friend, but tomorrow, could easily be an enemy. If the situation in the East Sea
cannot be resolved, or tensions at least eased, Russia will raise its voice.
China also made
an enemy of India
in the 1962 border conflict, after which thousands of square kilometers fell
into Chinese hands. If a war with Vietnam
occurs in the East Sea, which would trigger the latent uncertainties
in Tibet, analysts think India will
take the advantage of the great opportunity. Why not?
Phuc Lai, VietNamNet Bridge
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