Int'l experts urge ASEAN
unity to settle sea disputes
Exploitation of seabed oil and gas
resources is one of several major contentious issues complicating the tense
South China Sea (East Sea) situation, a retired US diplomat said at an
international conference held at Ton Duc Thang University in HCM city over
the weekend.
David Brown, an independent researcher, citing US
Energy Information Administration data, said that oil and gas resources in
the South China Sea were equivalent to 11
billion barrels of oil and 190 trillion cubic feet of gas.
However, in November 2012, the China National Offshore
Oil Company estimated that the area holds even more, about 125 billion
barrels of oil and 500 trillion cubic feet of natural gas in undiscovered
resources.
China, which
faces an increasing demand for oil and gas, consumed 3.5 billion barrels of
oil in 2011.
By 2035, China's
demand for oil and other liquid fuels is expected to grow by 70 per cent to
six billion barrels annually and will be slightly greater than the US, according
to British Petroleum's (BP) annual statistical review.
In 1993, China became a net importer of
oil. In 2012, China
imported about 57 percent of the 3.5 billion barrels of oil that its economy
needed. By 2040, it is expected to source more than 70 percent of its oil and
about 40 percent of its gas from abroad.
Brown said he was pessimistic about an agreement on seabed
hydrocarbons among claimants, as China has refused to enter into
discussions. However, he said there had been successful sharing of seabed oil
and gas in disputed territory in the region.
This approach would have a chance if China's
aggressive behavior was not aimed at getting control over maritime territory
but rather at only getting preferred access to the resources of the seabed,
said Brown.
Viet Nam, Philippines, Brunei
and Malaysia should give China first
option to purchase any hydrocarbons offered for sale on the world market, he
said.
Carlyle A. Thayer, of the Australian
Defense Force
Academy, told delegates that Viet Nam had tried its best to negotiate with China through
dialogue, but to no avail.
Thayer suggested that ASEAN should negotiate with China over
the issue, calling for ASEAN members to unite in this issue, noting that some
ASEAN members had taken a neutral position.
He also said that ASEAN should establish a marine
police force and security council.
Le Vinh Truong, of the Southeast Asia Sea Research
Foundation, suggested that Viet
Nam rely on international regulations to
deal with the dispute.
He said he supported the solution of filing a lawsuit
against China
in international court.
However, Irena Chan, of the S. Rajaratnam School of
International Studies in Singapore,
said she was not confident about relying on the UN Security Council. China is a
standing member of the council.
Several people believe that the UN can deal with the
issue, but the role of the UN should be examined, Chan said.
Because it takes much time to lodge a lawsuit against China, members of ASEAN should create a
stronger union to face China,
she added.
Chan agreed with Truong's opinion that filing a lawsuit
against China would not
greatly impact Viet Nam's
economy.
She said that trade between the Philippines and China
had increased recently although the Philippines
had filed a lawsuit against China.
VNS
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