Vietnam delays plan to ease restrictions on foreign stakes
A man stands
outside the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE) in Ho Chi Minh City. International investors
will have to wait at least 10 months for Vietnam to ease curbs on foreign
shareholders after a 2013 proposal to increase ownership limits was shelved.
International investors will have to wait at least 10 months for Vietnam to
ease curbs on foreign shareholders after a 2013 proposal to increase
ownership limits was shelved.
Policy
makers must revise a Ministry of Finance plan that recommended lifting the
foreign cap on voting shares in some industries to 60 percent from 49
percent, Vu Bang, chairman of the State Securities Commission, said in an
interview on Nov. 28. Bang, who had said in February that the government was
in the “last stage” of making a decision on the proposal, now says a new
version will be submitted in October.
Speculation
that ownership limits for the $56 billion stock market would be raised helped
boost the benchmark VN Index by 22 percent in 2013 and another 12 percent
this year. Money managers including Templeton Asset Management and Dragon
Capital Group Ltd. have said they’re unable to buy as many shares as they
want because of the caps.
“This
is disappointing as the market has been rallying because investors were
expecting the increase in the limit this year,” Attila Vajda, managing
director at Project Asia Research & Consulting Pte., said from Ho Chi
Minh City on Nov. 28. It will probably take until 2016 at the earliest for a
revised plan to get final approval, Vajda said.
The
gauge rose 0.6 percent as of 9:35 a.m. local time, poised to snap three-day
declines.
The SSC
will work with relevant ministries to revise the plan and address
inconsistencies with existing laws, Bang said. He said an increase in foreign
limits will be implemented “eventually” while declining to provide details of
the new proposal. The plan will need approval from Prime Minister Nguyen Tan
Dung.
MSCI Status
Vietnam is building its case for an upgrade to emerging- market
status from frontier classification by index provider MSCI Inc., the SSC said
in October. An emerging-market ranking, which would increase the pool of
eligible investors for Vietnam,
requires “significant” openness to foreign ownership and ease of capital
flows, as well as minimum levels of liquidity and market value, according to
MSCI’s website.
Foreign
investors have added a net $131.9 million to their Vietnam holdings in 2014, set for
the ninth straight year of inflows. The government is forecasting the fastest
economic growth since 2011 amid accelerating exports, a widening trade
surplus and slowing inflation.
Lawmakers
approved legislation last week that allows broader foreign ownership of property,
stepping up efforts to reach a 5.8 percent target for economic expansion this
year and clear up bad debts tied to real estate.
Despite
the delay in new foreign ownership rules, Bang said Vietnam’s
stock market will probably keep rallying next year amid a stable economy.
An
average $98 million of securities traded daily this year on the Ho Chi Minh
City Stock Exchange, the country’s main bourse, compared with $47 million
last year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The VN index is valued at
12.3 times estimated earnings for the next 12 months, versus 13 times for the
MSCI Asia Pacific Index.
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