BUSINESS IN BRIEF 25/3
Ho Chi Minh City to deliver swift improvement to FIEs
Ho Chi Minh City’s foreign direct investment (FDI)
capital reportedly made a sharp decrease of 55.5 per cent on-year.
According to the Ho Chi Minh City Department of
Planning and Investment’s statistics, in the first two month of 2016, the
city attracted $234 million in FDI, comprising $155 million of 90
newly-registered projects and $79 million added capital to 25 exiting
projects.
The decrease in FDI inflows to Ho Chi Minh City was
said due to the fact that the vast majority of recently invested projects in
the city were small-scale projects, worth tens of millions of dollars only.
Two outstanding projects are Malaysia-based United More Sdn. Bhd.’s $21
million Aureumaex Precious Plastic Vietnam, producing plastic parts for
Samsung LCD and LED TV panels and the $25.6 million sauce and spice
production project invested by a joint venture between Saigon Union of
Trading Co-operatives (Saigon Co.op) and Singaporean Wilmar International
Limited.
Furthermore, with the exception of Hong Kong’s Worldon
Vietnam Co. Ltd.’s $160 million expansion to its $140 million exiting project
in 2015, there have been no large-scale projects in the textile and garment
sector, which is considered one of the most appealing areas in attracting FDI
to Ho Chi Minh City to take advantage of the upcoming implementation of the
Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP).
At the meeting themed “Listening and Reforming” between
the city’s leaders and foreign invested enterprises based in Ho Chi Minh
City, organised in Ho Chi Minh City on March 16, more than 200 attending FIEs
raised concerns over the policies regulating the import of used equipment,
taxation, and customs, bemoaning the complication of the Vietnamese legal
framework.
Notably, heavy criticism was laid out against the
Ministry of Science and Technology’s Circular 23, which will come into effect
on July 1, 2016, arguing that it would create many hurdles for FIEs, forcing
them to change their investment strategies in Vietnam.
Speaking at the meeting, Secretary of the Ho Chi Minh
City Party Committee Dinh La Thang said that the city was implementing seven
strategic programmes, aiming to provide the most preferential conditions for
FIEs.
In addition, Thang asked FIEs to propose solutions to
effectively remove hurdles and facilitate smooth investment procedures in
Vietnam.
Agriculture credit meeting demand
Mr. Tran Van Tan, Head of the Credit Office at the
State Bank of Vietnam's 's Credit Department, told the “Towards Sustainable
Agri-Finance in Vietnam - From the Case of Lam Dong Province” conference held
by the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) and the Vietnam Academy
of Social Sciences (VASS) in Hanoi on March 18 that agriculture plays an
important role in Vietnam’s economic structure and though it accounts for
only around 17.4 per cent of GDP it employs over 50 per cent of the country’s
workforce, ensures national food security, and contributes to export
turnover.
Agriculture, forestry and fishery exports earned $30.45
billion in 2015, accounting for 18.8 per cent of Vietnam’s export turnover.
During the global economic crisis from 2008 to 2013 agriculture was a pillar
of Vietnam’s economy and the main factor in stabilizing the rural economy.
Recognizing the role of agriculture, the conference of
the 10th Party Central Committee issued Resolution No. 26 on August 5, 2008,
strengthening social mobilization, including using bank credit. The
government also promulgated Resolution No. 24 on October 28, 2008,
introducing a plan of action to implement the resolution on agriculture,
farmers, and rural areas set out at the conference of the 7th Party Central
Committee.
The State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) has determined that
agriculture is one of five sectors to enjoy priorities and has directed
credit institutions to balance their budgets and meet the sector’s demand for
capital in a timely manner. At the same time the central bank has applied a
credit policy and monetary policy tools to assist the sector.
Related provisions include the ceiling on short-term
interest rates applied to the agriculture sector being 1 to 2 per cent lower
than other sectors, the promulgation of Circular No. 20 on reducing reserve
requirements for credit institutions that have 40 per cent of loans to the
agriculture sector, and the giving of priority in refinancing to credit
institutions that meet difficulties in loans but have 40 per cent of loans to
the agriculture sector.
Outstanding credit for agriculture has increased
steadily over recent years. Growth in the 2011-2015 period averaged 17.39 per
cent; higher than the average credit growth of 13.51 per cent.
As at the end of 2015, outstanding credit for
agriculture stood at $37.85 billion, up 13.32 per cent against 2014 and
accounting for 18.12 per cent of total credit.
The proportion of bad debts in agriculture as at the
end of 2015 was 1.54 per cent, down from 2.28 per cent at the beginning of the
year. The proportion is often less than the average.
The results show that credit policies for agriculture
and rural areas have been suitable and have met people’s demand.
Japan keen to recruit more Vietnamese
Japanese enterprises have been and will continue to
recruit Vietnamese trainees and students, Mr. Hayashi Motoo, Minister of
Economy, Trade and Industry (METI), said at the Japan Alumni Connect Party
held by the Embassy of Japan in Vietnam, the Japan Association for the
Promotion of Internalization (JAPI), and the Japan Alumni of Vietnam (JAV).
Mr. Motoo, who is on a working visit to Vietnam, added that about 30,000
Vietnamese are now studying in Japan.
He noted that many senior officials at Vietnamese
government agencies, especially in the research, industry and trade sectors,
have studied in Japan.
He also expressed his belief that as relations between
the two countries become even stronger there will be more Vietnamese interns
in Japan. The historic visit to Japan by State President Truong Tan Sang in
2013 and the signing of the TPP will help bolster the relationship, he added,
and he expects more success stories from Vietnamese interns in Japan.
“Vietnamese students and interns play an important role
in developing the relationship between Vietnam and Japan,” Associate
Professor Ngo Minh Thuy, Chairwoman of JAV and Vice President of the
University of Languages and International Studies, told the gathering.
As representatives of Vietnam’s youth, they will use
the expertise gained from Japan to develop their own country, becoming a
bridge between the two peoples in the process and a factor in strengthening
relations.
PM approves adjustments to electricity plan
Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung has approved adjustments
to the national electricity plan in the 2011-2020 period and vision to 2030.
The adjustments are targeted at supplying sufficient
electricity to meet domestic demand and facilitate Vietnam’s socio-economic
target of GDP growth of 7 per cent annually in the 2016-2030 period.
Alternative energy is to be developed, such as wind
energy, solar energy, and biomass power, with the proportion of generation
from alternative sources to rise.
Multi-function hydroelectric power projects will be
prioritized, which can not only produce electricity but also supply water and
control flooding. These will be researched to ensure they are suitable with
the national electricity grid and enhance efficiency.
By 2020 the total capacity of hydroelectric projects,
including small and medium hydro power plants and multi-function
hydroelectric plants is to be 21,600 MW and will increase to 24,600 MW by
2025 and 27,800 MW by 2030.
Hydroelectricity will account for about 29.5 per cent
of generated electricity by 2020, 20.5 per cent by 2025, and 15.5 per cent by
2030.
The current capacity of wind power is 140 MW and is to
rise by 800 MW by 2020, by 2,000 MW by 2025, and by about 6,000 MW by 2030.
The tiny existing capacity of solar energy will be
increased to 850 MW by 2020, 4,000 MW by 2025, and about 12,000 MW by 2030
and account for 0.5 per cent of generation by 2020, about 1.6 per cent by
2025, and about 3.3 per cent by 2030.
Regarding thermal power, domestic coal will be
prioritized for northern thermal power plants. Total capacity by 2020 will be
26,000 MW, contributing 49.3 per cent to total generation and using about 63
million tonnes of coal. By 2050 generation will be 45,800 MW, accounting for
55 per cent and using 95 million tonnes of coal.
Due to a shortage of coal, thermal power plants will be
constructed in Long An province and provinces along the nearby Song Hau River
in the Mekong Delta, where transport allows for easy delivery.
Nuclear power will be also developed, with the first
plants to be operational by 2028. By 2030 nuclear power will have a capacity
of 4,600 MW and account for 5.7 per cent of generation.
In the 2016-2020 period the total investment to develop
electricity resources and the national grid, excluding BOT contracts, will be
$148 billion.
Piaggio launches scooters for men
Piaggio Vietnam has introduced the Medley ABS, the
first of its new line of scooters for men, costing from VND71.5 million
($3,200) to VND72.5 million ($3,250).
There are two versions: the ABS classical version at
$3,207 and the sporty version at $3,252.
General Director of Piaggio Vietnam, Mr. Costantino
Sambuy, said the localization rate of the new scooter is 60 per cent and is
not only being produced to meet domestic demand but also for export.
The Medley ABS has large wheels and a compact design
that allows for easy city riding.
It boasts an LCD screen, electronic fuel injection
system, immobilizer (an electronic security device that prevents the engine
from running unless the correct key is used), and an anti-lock brake system
(ABS).
In the storage compartment under the saddle is a USB
port to recharge smartphones and sufficient space to store two helmets.
The air filter and oil filter will be replaced by
Piaggio after the vehicle has traveled 10,000 kilometers.
Agri-investment still beset by difficulties
Vietnam is an ideal destination for Japanese investors
in agriculture but there are still a host of barriers relating to land,
financial support, and administrative procedures that have made it difficult
for investors over recent years.
This was the general assessment of many agriculture
experts from Japan attending the “Towards Sustainable Agri-Finance in Vietnam
- From the Case of Lam Dong province” conference held by the Japan
International Cooperation Agency (JICA) and the Vietnam Academy of Social Sciences
(VASS) in Hanoi on March 18.
A representative from the Dream Incubator Vietnam JSC,
which specializes in strategic consulting for Japanese investors in
agriculture in Vietnam, said that in 2014 there were some 34 Japanese
enterprises seeking investment opportunities in the sector and the number
rose to 100 in 2015. “This shows that Vietnam has the potential to attract
investment in the agriculture sector,” he told the gathering.
Issues relating to land, financial support, and
administrative procedures remain the greatest barriers for agriculture
investors in Vietnam to overcome. Mr. Mori Mutsuya, Chief Representative of
JICA Vietnam, said there is a Japanese investor investing in onions in Lam
Dong province to export to Japan and other provinces such as Binh Duong and
Ho Chi Minh City as well as to supply the AEON supermarket chain. The
investor can afford to invest in modern machinery and equipment for
large-scale production but cannot secure a large enough land plot for
large-scale production.
Experts at the conference also pointed out the
important role of agri-finance, which is considered a key for agriculture
development and is in line with current policies of the government
encouraging private sector investments in agriculture restructuring and rural
development.
Deputy Governor of the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV)
Nguyen Dong Tien said that rural agriculture is one of five priority areas of
the banking sector. Government and SBV credit policies for the sector are
increasingly suitable to the aspirations and needs of the people.
In order to ensure the final goal of “Enhancing the
whole value chain of agricultural produce”, JICA proposes a comprehensive
support framework that addresses current bottlenecks in agricultural
promotion, such as non-preferential loan terms, strict collateral
requirements, poor business planning, and/or huge upfront investment burdens.
The JICA agriculture finance promotion program will be
piloted in the central highlands’ Lam Dong province and if successful will be
widely adopted in other provinces. Under its support framework, in addition
to concessional funding in ODA loans, JICA will also provide technical
assistance to enhance banks’ capacity for loan appraisal and the proactive
monitoring of business assets. For farmers and agricultural enterprises,
technical assistance to strengthen their capacity for business planning in a
financially feasible manner will be provided to improve access to bank loans
with higher concessions and relaxed security requirements. Additional policy
measures such as credit guarantees and alliance with installment credit
providers are also expected to lower collateral requirements and ease the
upfront investment burden.
Real estate continues to catch foreign attention
Vietnam continues to be an ideal destination for Asian
investors, Mr. Alex Crane, General Manager of Cushman & Wakefield
(C&W) Vietnam, said in its “Record High Global Capital Targeting
Commercial Real Estate” report.
Demand from overseas investors at the institutional
level remains and this will continue through 2016, he believes.
The number of mergers and acquisitions (M&A)
increased dramatically last year, by about 20 per cent compared to 2014, with
real estate accounting for 10 per cent of total foreign direct investment
(FDI) into Vietnam.
“We haven’t yet seen much uptake at the individual
level, especially in the residential sector, but Asian corporations in
particular are aggressively active in Vietnam,” Mr. Crane said. “The market
is becoming more competitive with local and foreign groups vying for the best
sites and investments.”
One of the challenges for foreign developers and
investors, despite how well funded they are, is obtaining land. Mr. Crane
therefore suggested joint ventures between foreign investors and domestic companies
as a solution in accessing the land necessary to develop projects.
The C&W report also showed that growth in available
capital was recorded in Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA), the
Americas, and Asia Pacific, with the latter leading the charge with an 8 per
cent increase to $131 billion, bolstered by the closing of a number of funds
during the course of 2015. Despite this increase, however, the region
attracted the least capital. While EMEA and the Americas saw capital expand
by less than 2 per cent, across EMEA there was $143 billion in new capital
with the Americas still attracting the greatest amount, at $169 billion.
The weight of cross-border flows continues to transform
real estate markets around the globe. Most notably, more than 40 per cent of
capital targeting both Asia Pacific and EMEA is from outside of their
respective regions, with North American-sourced capital dominating, according
to C&W’s Director of Capital Markets Research, Mr. Nigel Almond.
Why Viet Nam invited to join TPP?
Viet Nam was invited to join first eight countries in
Trans-Pacific Partnership talks as it has been serious in implementing its
international commitments, said Deputy Minister of Industry and Trade Tran
Quoc Khanh.
Viet Nam is the only country that has free trade
relations with all the biggest markets in the world, ranging from ASEAN, the
US, the European Union, China, Japan, Canada, Australia and to Russia, the
TPP chief negotiator said.
In addition, the country’s population exceeded 80
million, thus the purchasing power is huge.
The aforesaid reasons explained why foreign investors
become more interested in the Southeast Asian market after member countries
concluded the TPP talks.
Mr. Khanh said both the Government and businesses will
face competition pressure with an active spirit.
The Government will focus on stabilizing macro-economy,
controlling inflation, public debt and budget while improving national
governance capacity to perform its role as a development facilitator.
This is a significant change as the Government will
seek ways to facilitate development instead of strict control, highlighted
the Deputy Minister of Industry and Trade.
Mr. Khanh said the TPP would be an opportunity for Viet
Nam to further attract foreign investment, spur exports and withdraw
management experience and practices to improve the level of national
governance capacity and policy environment.
The TPP was signed on February 4, 2016 by 12 countries,
namely Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New
Zealand, Peru, Singapore, the US and Viet Nam, representing 40% of global GDP
and 30% of global trade. This is a new-generation free trade agreement (FTA)
which is expected to become a model for regional and international trade
development with higher standards in the context of fast production force
development, increasingly deep and wide international integration.
Viet Nam’s signing of the TPP was not merely the
outcome of the five-year persevering negotiations under the spirit of both
cooperation and struggle, based on the top objective of national interest.
More profoundly, this is the fruit of the 30-year
renovation, in which economic integration is a vital component which has been
strongly asserted and clearly interpreted in the resolutions of the Party.
This is also experience withdrawn from the country’s
international integration realities following the signing and implementation
of the Viet Nam-US bilateral trade agreement; the participation in the ASEAN
free trade area, FTAs between ASEAN and its partners, and the accession to
the World Trade Organization.
Investor sentiment seen improving
Investor sentiment is expected to improve following a
portfolio rebalancing by exchange traded funds (ETF) FTSE and VNM, but the
equity market still lacks support to surpass the 580-point resistance level,
Bao Viet Securities Company said in a report released last Friday.
The brokerage advised investors to practice caution
while waiting for directional cues on the market.
Last week saw the VN-Index of the HCMC bourse inching
down 0.25% from a week earlier at 575.82 points, while the HNX-Index on the
Hanoi market ended the week up 0.66% at 80.59 points. The average matched
volume rose by 7% each on both markets, reaching 142.6 million shares per
session on the southern bourse and 48 million shares per session on the Hanoi
market.
Profit taking pressure built up during last week,
especially on blue-chips. A selloff hit these stocks last Tuesday, sending the
main index down.
As selling eased and large caps GAS, PVD, BVH and VIC
attracted investors, the market recovered in the following two sessions.
Notably, FLC took the lead in terms of volume, backed by news about the
realty developer’s project in Halong, Quang Ninh Province, while smaller
speculative stocks in the mining sector had high trading volumes.
Vietnam’s equity market opened in the green last
Friday, buoyed by positive sentiment from the U.S. stock market, according to
Viet Capital Securities Company. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to slow
down its rate hike plan led the greenback to depreciate by 1.2% against the
Vietnam dong, which in turn drew investors back to stock markets and other
investment vehicles.
Oil and gas stocks were main drivers of the market in
the morning session, helping the VN-Index rise to an intraday high of 580.8
points. However, strong selling pressure, together with trader concerns over
ETFs’ portfolio reviews, pushed the index down below 580 points.
Foreign investors were net sellers on the HCMC
exchange, offloading VND14 billion worth of shares. They sold VIC shares
worth VND220 billion, HSG shares worth VND168 billion and PPC shares worth
VND121 billion, while they spent VND329 billion on SBT shares, VND129 billion
on ASM shares and VND76 billion on HQC shares.
Foreigners stayed on the buying side on the Hanoi
market and their net purchases stood at VND66 billion. They acquired PVS, SCR
and IVS, and sold VND and HUT.
Ho Tram Strip unveils Gallery Villas project
The Ho Tram Project Company is offering homes in
Gallery Villas project as part of the multi-billion-dollar integrated resort
complex Ho Tram Strip in the southern province of Ba Ria-Vung Tau.
The developer of the Ho Tram Strip said in a statement
released over the weekend that 60 three-bedroom villas join Vietnam’s major
entertainment destination, The Grand Ho Tram Strip and the 18-hole golf
course The Bluffs Ho Tram Strip designed by the world’s renowned golfer Greg
Norman. The villas are woven seamlessly into the golf course’s rolling
dunescape.
The villas measure 800-1,700 square meters each and are
set over two floors, with each blending indoor and outdoor living spaces on
both levels, including terraces and private swimming pools for owners. The
interiors of the villas feature a contemporary luxury seaside lifestyle.
Michael Kelly, executive chairman of Ho Tram Strip,
said the company has built the resort The Grand and the golf course The
Bluffs, and now opens the doors on Vietnam’s premier residences with the
Gallery Villas.
Kelly said the average price of the villas designed by
architecture company DWP is more than US$1 million each and all owners can
benefit from many facilities at the resort complex, including residential
golf memberships at The Bluffs.
Other facilities of the resort are swimming pools,
kid’s center, gym, a spa, restaurants as well as the 2.2 kilometer private
beach of the project.
The Gallery Villas project is the latest residential
announcement from the company under Asian Coast Development (Canada) Ltd
after the announcement of the development of a time share condominium tower
on the company’s 164 hectare beachfront site more than three months ago.
In early December last year, the company and local
construction firm Coteccons signed a memorandum of understanding to develop
new residential towers, including a multi-tower development of 700-900
condominiums.
Kelly said new facilities will be in operation in the
coming time at the around the 541-room Grand Ho Tram Strip to make the
integrated resort an accessible destination for local and foreign investors.
The new facilities include an area for sport and
electronics games, a 3D cinema, four karaoke parlors for families, water
slides, luxury retail shops, and food and beverage outlets.
Kelly said around US$1 billion has been invested in the
integrated resort.
The Grand Ho Tram Strip, which is the first phase of
development at Ho Tram Strip, was inaugurated in 2013 and comprises a
541-room five-star hotel, a casino, restaurants, meeting and convention
space, three swimming pools, luxury retail shops, as well as a variety of
beach-front recreation activities. Once completed, the second tower at The
Grand will bring the integrated resort’s rooms to 1,100 and add entertainment
amenities to The Grand Ho Tram Strip.
Unemployment down in Q4
Vietnam’s jobless rate dropped to 2.18% in the fourth
quarter of 2015 from 2.35% in quarter three and 2.42% in quarter two of the
same year, according to a new report on labor released last week by the
Ministry of Labor, Invalids and Social Affairs.
Nguyen Thi Lan Huong, head of the report editing
division and former director of the Institute of Labor Science and Social
Affairs, said at a press conference held to announce the report in Hanoi that
1.05 million people of working age were unemployed in quarter four of
2015, with those aged 15 to 24 accounting for over half.
Unemployment among college and university graduates
fell by 78,000 people to 417,300, making up 39.7% of the total. Accordingly,
155,500 university graduates were jobless in the final quarter of last year,
down by 70,000 people compared to the previous quarter.
The number of jobless people with technical expertise
certificates of less than three months totaled 26,230 and graduates of
vocational schools at 3,540, up from the previous quarter. Deputy Minister of
Labor, Invalids and Social Affairs Doan Mau Diep attributed the increases in
the jobless rates among people with technical expertise certificates of less
than three months and graduates of vocational schools to an upsurge in
graduates from these schools.
Diep said that employers need to recruit technicians
who can use modern machines and equipment, while people with technical
expertise certificates of three months to less than one year do not meet the
requirements of businesses.
According to the report, the unemployment rate among
college graduates registered the highest percentage, 8.16%, followed by
vocational college graduates with 3.44%, vocational school graduates with
3.32% and university graduates with 3.3%.
Meanwhile, the average wage offered by State-owned
enterprises dropped sharply in the fourth quarter while salaries at private
companies inched up in the period.
The report showed that laborers at State-run businesses
earned the highest average salary of VND5.5 million per month in quarter
four, down by VND664,000 versus quarter three.
The collective economy sector saw the average monthly
wage rising by VND509,000 against quarter three to VND3.49 million. Laborers’
average income from main jobs stood at VND4.66 million per month.
Senior executives had the highest average wage of
VND7.8 million per month, followed by those having technical expertise with
VND6.6 million per month and normal workers with VND3.19 million.
Overall, monthly average wages of laborers edged up
across the board versus the third quarter, with the highest increase of
VND441,000 reported for agricultural technical workers and the lowest of
VND15,000 for laborers with strong technical expertise. Meanwhile, the
average salary of workers with medium technical expertise dipped by VND30,000
per month.
Investor ups toll to make ends meet
The toll level on National Highway 5, one of Vietnam’s
most modern expressways connecting the cities of Hanoi and Haiphong, will
climb soon, helping the investor ensure the project’s financial viability,
and raise capital for road quality maintenance and improvement.
From April 1, 2016 the toll at two stations on National
Highway 5 will be revised as per the Ministry of Finance’s (MoF) Circular
No.153/2015/TT-BTC dated October 2015. The new toll level for vehicles of
under 12 seats, trucks of below two tonnes, and public buses will increase to
VND45,000 ($2), up from VND30,000 (14 cents) applied from December 1, 2015 to
March 31, 2016. Meanwhile, the highest toll level applied to trucks of above
18 tonnes will jump to VND200,000 ($9), up from VND160,000 ($7.3) also
applied from December 1, 2015 to March 31, 2016.
This is the second toll increase in the past five
months.
Acknowledging that such a toll hike could increase the
burden on transportation firms operating on this route, Vietnam
Infrastructure Development and Financial Investment Corporation (Vidifi),
assigned by the government to manage toll collection on National Highway 5,
said that the move was crucial to help ensure financial feasibility of the
build-operate-transfer (BOT) Hanoi-Haiphong expressway project in which they
acted as the developer.
The 105 kilometre long Hanoi-Haiphong expressway was
opened to traffic in early December 2015 after more than seven years of
construction. To help the BOT developer recoup its investment capital of
$2.08 billion, the government has permitted Vidifi to collect the toll on
National Highway 5. In the initial period after the expressway was put into
use, the developer was reported to bear daily interest payments of VND8
billion ($366,000). The developer estimated that only after 16 years of use,
the toll collection on National Highway 5 would balance the interest
payments. Meanwhile, it would take an estimated 30 years to recover the
investment capital.
According to Vidifi, the project’s recently-approved
financial plan would fail if Vidifi was not allowed to raise the toll level
on National Highway 5. In addition, the toll revision aims to make good on
Vidifi’s promise with an undisclosed business partner who will be involved in
the transfer of part of the BOT expressway contract.
Lower tariffs raise Korean investment
Many South Korean firms are boosting their investments
into Vietnam, and raising their imports thanks to tariff slashes under the
Vietnam-South Korea Free Trade Agreement.
Since its establishment early this month, the Vietnam-
South Korea FTA Support Centre in Hanoi has already helped several South
Korean firms set up businesses here to benefit from the Vietnam-South Korea
Free Trade Agreement’s (VKFTA) import tariff cuts.
“South Korean firms are coming to Vietnam in great
numbers, and are interested in various projects here using materials imported
from South Korea,” said Choi Dae Kyu, a tax specialist from the centre.
Park Juno, marketing director of home appliance maker Happy
Cook, said that the VKFTA would enable this firm to import more goods from
South Korea into Vietnam at much cheaper prices.
For instance, the import tariff of electric cookers
would be 0 per cent over the next eight years, instead of 16 per cent as it
is now.
In another case, Cuckoo Electronics, which is one of
South Korea’s leading businesses in home appliances, began preparations for
seizing the VKFTA opportunities by opening its first store in Ho Chi Minh
City in July 2014. The firm opened a second store in Hanoi later that year,
and had plans to open more outlets nationwide to import more goods from South
Korea into Vietnam.
Vu Ba Phu, director of the Ministry of Industry and
Trade’s Planning Department, said that since early this year, the number of
South Korean firms entering Vietnam rose 18 per cent year-on-year.
Under the VKFTA, officially signed in May 2015 and
taking effect last December, Vietnam pledged to reduce import duties by 92.4
per cent for many South Korean products such as textiles, garments, plastic
materials, electronic spare parts, and vehicle components (see table for
example). Crucially, this import duty reduction will be carried out over a
15-year period.
“Many South Korean firms have and will continue
investing in Vietnam, in many sectors covered in this VKFTA,” Hong Sun,
general secretary of the Korea Chamber of Business in Vietnam, told VIR. “It
is also because Vietnam’s production and labour costs are lower than in other
nations. Vietnam’s workers are also skillful.”
Early this month, the Mekong Delta city of Can Tho
Export Processing and Industrial Zones Management Authority licensed South
Korea’s Tae Kwang Industrial for a $172 million project at the city’s Hung
Phu 2B industrial park. This 62-hectare, 50-year-long project will develop
the park’s infrastructure works and build a factory to produce sports shoes.
This project will begin the first-stage construction during 2016-2019, with
operations starting next year.
Also early this month, the southern province of Binh
Duong People’s Committee licensed South Korea’s Lumens Vina for a $30 million
project to manufacture light-emitting diode lamp bulbs.
However, Kyu said that in order to benefit from the
VKFTA, enterprises from both sides would have to meet strict requirements on
product origins, meaning products exported to Vietnam must have materials
made in South Korea, and vice versa.
Regulations slow liberalisation plans
Interest rate liberalisation is an important part of
financial reform, promoting safer and more efficient financial markets. It
has three components: the introduction of market-driven, competitive deposit
rates; the establishment of a legal structure that allows banks to default;
and a deposit insurance scheme.
Allowing weak credit institutions (CIs) to go bankrupt
would remove the implicit government guarantee on CIs, thereby creating for
depositors a need for more accurate and insightful counterparty risk
analysis, in addition to the details of benefits offered. As a
counterbalance, a deposit insurance scheme would protect the interests of
depositors, contribute to ensuring national financial system stability, and
build a fair market for financial institutions of different scales and levels
of development, so as to strengthen public confidence in the CI system.
In our article last week in the Vietnam Investment
Review, we highlighted a number of benefits to scrapping deposit interest
rate caps. In this article, we review the other two components of interest
rate liberalisation, as they would apply in Vietnam.
The 2014 Bankruptcy Law replaced the 2004 Bankruptcy
Law and 2010’s Decree 05 on the law’s application to CIs, and was enacted to
overcome the shortcomings that became apparent in the course of implementing
the previous regulations, while also creating new mechanisms to process
bankruptcy more efficiently and better protect the rights and legitimate
interests of the parties concerned. Fundamental points of the new 2014
Bankruptcy Law included provisions on the bankruptcy of CIs, which set up
mechanisms that were suitable for handling such bankruptcies, covering the
full range of content needed to conduct CI bankruptcy proceedings.
More recently, earlier this year, leaders of the State
Bank stated that it would consider implementing bankruptcy procedures against
weak finance companies and credit funds to create norms for the market, as
well as to warn bankers regarding the responsibilities of their operations.
The current Deposit Insurance Law was passed by Congress in 2012, and came
into effect from 2013. Deposit Insurance of Vietnam (DIV), however, had been
in operation since 2000, and remains the only organisation in Vietnam engaged
in deposit insurance.
Under current regulations, only deposits in VND are
covered, and the maximum insurance coverage for every person or organisation
is VND50 million ($2,290) should a bank fail. This raises some significant
issues. First, the payment limit of the current insurance scheme is
considered too low. International practice places the optimal payment limit
in a range from 2.5 to 5 times the per capita GDP in order to fully cover 80
per cent of deposit accounts. These limits are calculated in line with the
objectives for, capacity of, and requirements imposed on deposit insurance
organisations. As of June 30, 2011, Vietnam’s limit of VND50 million would
fully cover only 10.23 per cent of deposit accounts, and in 2015 it
represents only 1.1 times the per capita GDP.
Second, the deposit insurance charges are currently
equal for all insured banks, at 0.15 per cent of insured balances, regardless
of the stability or operational safety of the bank. Equal deposit insurance
premium rates create dependence, discouraging banks from operating more
securely to enjoy lower-cost deposit insurance, and promoting an appetite for
higher risks in banking operations. In many developed countries, deposit
insurance fees include two components – a fixed charge and a charge based on
risk assessment. The risk-based charges have the advantage of equal treatment
between CIs, and contributing to limiting risk – especially moral hazard – in
banks. This needs to be implemented soon.
In short, in addition to the current policy of the
authorities, there are two further issues related to deposit insurance that
need to be solved before Vietnam can completely liberalise interest rates.
Domestic developers look for financial alternatives
Threatened by the government’s initiative to introduce
lending limits, real estate developers are seeking new financial sources for
their projects instead of depending on bank loans or deposits from buyers.
Steven Chu Chee Kwang, CEO of Nam Long Corp, a company
that specialises in raising financing from foreign partners, said that
Vietnam’s capital market must be better developed in order to support the
country’s economic development, especially that of the real estate sector,
which normally needs to have medium- to-long-term financing.
According to Chu, most financing still relies on the
banking system, and fund-raising via the stock market is not significant.
Moreover, if the State Bank’s draft to replace Decree
36 on credit tightening is approved, it could have a detrimental effect on
the real estate sector, increasing the risk index to 150-250 per cent, and
might cause the maximum ratio of short-term funds used for medium- and long-term
loans to drop from 60 to 40 per cent.
“The government needs to facilitate foreign investment
into the real estate market by increasing access to the land bank without the
burden of complex land clearance issues. It also needs to address concerns over
quality speculation and state property policies,” Chu suggested.
Vo Sy Nhan, general director of real estate fund Gaw NP
Capital, said that the financial arrangement for projects was the primary
factor which every developer must be aware of.
“Vietnamese developers must research and investigate
how to raise funds and diversify financial resources for their projects,
instead of depending mostly on bank loans and the mobilisation of buyers,”
Nhan said at the Ho Chi Minh City conference on finding financial resouces
for the real estate market on March 9.
Financial flows to the projects would be strongly
impacted by banking policy changes, Nhan said, adding that 80-90 per cent of
current developers were depending on bank loans.
In Vietnam, real estate projects are now depending on
three main sources: buyers, IPOs of developers, and calling on other
investors to join the investment.
However, Nhan said that as a source IPOs were largely
dependent upon the prestige and transparency of developers, while outside
sources remain comparatively small.
“Domestic developers are less advanced because they
have restricted access to foreign financial resources, which are abundant
elsewhere in the world. Clearly, the most important thing is to find suitable
resources for their own projects,” Nhan said.
Nhan suggested that developers should source capital
reserve funds of governments, or from large-scale international financial
institutions.
He added that one of the major disadvantages for
projects here was that they are typically implemented over many years, while
the majority of fund managers were only looking for short term investments.
“They jump in and out very fast,” Nhan said.
Su Ngoc Khuong, investment director from Savills
Vietnam, agreed with Nhan, noting that instead of using bank loans and buyer
credit, many developers were diversifying their financial resources by
co-operating with foreign investment funds to share experience as well as
financing costs.
“The range of mergers and acquisitions in the
Vietnamese real estate market has proved this trend,” Khuong said.
The real estate business is the most capital intensive
investment—up to billions of US dollars over a long term period—therefore,
developers must have a long-term financial plan in order to develop
sustainably, Khuong said.
The experts also mentioned a type of fund raising which
has recently been initiated in Vietnam for real estate projects—the Real
Estate Investment Trust (REITS).
Loose monetary policy needed to reduce interest rates
Experts have suggested the central bank should further
loosen its monetary policy to reduce lending interest rates in a move to
support businesses.
After hitting a two-year high of 8.35 per cent per year
recently, the interest rate still shows no sign of cooling down, undermining
the country’s efforts to help the economy recover over the past year.
Experts from HSBC and Vietcombank’s Securities Co have
forecast that the lending interest rate will increase by some 50 basis points
this year.
Lê Xuân Nghĩa, director of the Business Development
Institute, was concerned, saying if the interest rate increases again, all
the country’s efforts to restore the economy could fail.
Former central bank governor Lê Đức Thúy also said
hikes in interest rates may limit businesses in Việt Nam from expanding this
year. Interest rates went up at the end of 2015, and this trend is continuing
into 2016 as banks face liquidity troubles.
Rates continue to climb, possibly by 1-2 per cent this
year compared with the average in 2015. Thus, it is obvious that enterprises
cannot expand operations normally as they did last year, Thúy said.
Thúy estimated that increases in deposit rates could
raise the average long-term lending rate to 11 per cent per year, while a
number of loans could bear higher rates as well.
Commercial banks have so far attributed the interest
rate hike to anticipated increases in inflation, higher capital demands and
the review of Circular 36, which may reduce the percentage of short-term
capital used for medium- and long-term lending to 40 per cent from the
current 60 per cent.
However, experts identified G-bonds as the main cause
of the interest rate hike.
According to Nghĩa, the market’s interest rate curve
depends on the interest rate of G-bonds.
Other interest rates cannot go down when the interest
on G-bonds goes up, Nghĩa said, adding that commercial banks have poured more
money into G-bonds, which have a high interest rate and zero risk. Currently,
banks hold some 80 per cent of the total outstanding G-bonds.
Bùi Quốc Dũng, director of the Monetary Policy
Department under the State Bank of Việtnam, also named G-bonds as one of the
major factors that exert pressure on interest rates.
According to Dũng, the yields of five-year G-bonds last
year soared to nearly 7 per cent per year from 5.5 per cent earlier, coupled
with a higher issuance volume this year. This will weigh heavily on medium-
and long-term interest rates.
To reduce interest rates, Nghĩa suggested the central
bank should loosen its monetary policy by reducing the compulsory reserve
ratio and restricting the issue of bills to withdraw money.
The central bank should also actively take part in the
inter-bank market to stabilise the market’s interest rate, Nghĩa said.
Besides, Nghĩa said, the government should adopt strict
measures to reduce the budget deficit, which will help reduce mobilisation
through G-bonds.
However, if the monetary policy is further loosened,
money must be controlled to flow into the right industries to help the
economy further recover, while successfully controlling inflation, Nghĩa said.
Experts also expected the Circular 36 draft to reduce
pressure on capital and interest rates for domestic commercial banks as the
regulation could allow joint venture and wholly foreign-owned banks in Việt
Nam to use up to 35 per cent of their short-term funding to buy G-bonds, a
considerable rise from the current 15 per cent.
Da Nang warns about risks of new malware
The central city's information and communications
department has issued an alert over a computer virus called Ransomwar, after
new viruses affected personal computers of several businesses early this
month.
The department said a hacker would send a fake email
attached with the virus to users through an agency's email system. The virus
then decodes all information of the computer users on the database, blocking
their access to the database.
The department said users should not open suspect and
strange emails and messages, and should regularly update their anti-virus
software programmes.
Experts also said cyber attacks would increase and
affect security and business activities, and aid crimes via emails.
The central city has been developing a cyber security
programme for more than 600 information technology businesses and 5,000
staff.
Last October, the website of the city's education and
training department was hacked. The department needed a week to regain
control over its website.
Da Nang launched the city's e-government system in
2014, including a Metropolitan Area Network (MAN), wireless Internet, data
centre and a centre for human resource training and research on IT
applications, with 1,196 online administrative procedures.
The city is ready to implement 4G LTE (long-term
evolution) and the Internet of Things by 2018.
According to IT experts, only a third of the agencies
and enterprises in Viet Nam have set regulations for information security, while
57 per cent of the corporations didn't have funding for their information
security programme upgrade or development.
Made in Vietnam electronics, telephones sought after in
EU
The EU was the biggest importer of telephones and
electronics made in Vietnam in the first two months of this year, accounting
for 32.1% of their total export revenue.
The General Department of Vietnam Customs reported the
EU imported US$1.51 billion worth of telephones and components and US$2.31
billion worth of computers and electronics from Vietnam in the period.
The United Arab Emirates ranked second among importers
of telephones and components made in Vietnam with a value of US$639 million,
trailed after by the US (US$547 million) and the Republic of Korea (nearly
US$295 million).
The country’s telephone and component exports grew by
7.6% to US$2.44 billion in February while imports rose 13% to US$4.71 billion
in the first two months of this year.
Meanwhile exports of computers, electronics and
components reached US$1.05 billion in February, down 16.4% against the
previous month, bringing the total export value in two months to US$2.31
billion, up 4.4% over the same period last year.
Regulations slow liberalisation plans
Interest rate liberalisation is an important part of
financial reform, promoting safer and more efficient financial markets. It
has three components: the introduction of market-driven, competitive deposit
rates; the establishment of a legal structure that allows banks to default;
and a deposit insurance scheme.
Allowing weak credit institutions (CIs) to go bankrupt
would remove the implicit government guarantee on CIs, thereby creating for
depositors a need for more accurate and insightful counterparty risk
analysis, in addition to the details of benefits offered. As a
counterbalance, a deposit insurance scheme would protect the interests of
depositors, contribute to ensuring national financial system stability, and
build a fair market for financial institutions of different scales and levels
of development, so as to strengthen public confidence in the CI system.
In our article last week in the Vietnam Investment
Review, we highlighted a number of benefits to scrapping deposit interest
rate caps. In this article, we review the other two components of interest
rate liberalisation, as they would apply in Vietnam.
The 2014 Bankruptcy Law replaced the 2004 Bankruptcy
Law and 2010’s Decree 05 on the law’s application to CIs, and was enacted to
overcome the shortcomings that became apparent in the course of implementing
the previous regulations, while also creating new mechanisms to process
bankruptcy more efficiently and better protect the rights and legitimate
interests of the parties concerned. Fundamental points of the new 2014
Bankruptcy Law included provisions on the bankruptcy of CIs, which set up
mechanisms that were suitable for handling such bankruptcies, covering the
full range of content needed to conduct CI bankruptcy proceedings.
More recently, earlier this year, leaders of the State
Bank stated that it would consider implementing bankruptcy procedures against
weak finance companies and credit funds to create norms for the market, as
well as to warn bankers regarding the responsibilities of their operations.
The current Deposit Insurance Law was passed by Congress in 2012, and came
into effect from 2013. Deposit Insurance of Vietnam (DIV), however, had been
in operation since 2000, and remains the only organisation in Vietnam engaged
in deposit insurance.
Under current regulations, only deposits in VND are
covered, and the maximum insurance coverage for every person or organisation
is VND50 million ($2,290) should a bank fail. This raises some significant
issues. First, the payment limit of the current insurance scheme is
considered too low. International practice places the optimal payment limit
in a range from 2.5 to 5 times the per capita GDP in order to fully cover 80
per cent of deposit accounts. These limits are calculated in line with the
objectives for, capacity of, and requirements imposed on deposit insurance
organisations. As of June 30, 2011, Vietnam’s limit of VND50 million would
fully cover only 10.23 per cent of deposit accounts, and in 2015 it
represents only 1.1 times the per capita GDP.
Second, the deposit insurance charges are currently
equal for all insured banks, at 0.15 per cent of insured balances, regardless
of the stability or operational safety of the bank. Equal deposit insurance
premium rates create dependence, discouraging banks from operating more
securely to enjoy lower-cost deposit insurance, and promoting an appetite for
higher risks in banking operations. In many developed countries, deposit
insurance fees include two components – a fixed charge and a charge based on
risk assessment. The risk-based charges have the advantage of equal treatment
between CIs, and contributing to limiting risk – especially moral hazard – in
banks. This needs to be implemented soon.
In short, in addition to the current policy of the
authorities, there are two further issues related to deposit insurance that
need to be solved before Vietnam can completely liberalise interest rates.
VEF/VNA/VNS/VOV/SGT/SGGP/Dantri/VET/VIR
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Thứ Sáu, 25 tháng 3, 2016
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