Hydroelectricity: New mission from controversial energy
source
16:30Despite its long
history, hydroelectricity and its sustainable development have always been a
matter of controversy.
Despite
its long history, hydroelectricity and its sustainable development have
always been a matter of controversy. But in the future, hydropower will still
be the world's largest source of renewable electricity generation, and will
play an important role in reducing carbon emissions and improving the
flexibility of the power system. In addition to new projects, countries will
invest in expanding existing plants and types of stored hydroelectricity. Over
the past decades, Vietnam has made good use of this energy source. The period from 1995 to 2005 was the
peak of hydropower development in many countries. In Vietnam, many hydropower
projects were built and put into operation, including large and multi-purpose
hydropower projects like Ialy Hydroelectricity, Ham Thuan - Da Mi
Hydroelectricity, Se San 3 Hydroelectricity, and Tuyen Quang
Hydroelectricity, among others. Since 2006, the largest hydropower
projects of Vietnam were built, including Son La Hydroelectricity (2,400 MW),
Lai Chau Hydropower (1,200 MW) and Huoi Quang Hydropower (560 MW). According to the Ministry of Industry
and Trade, in many cases, the growth of hydroelectricity has been facilitated
by renewable energy development. As a result, over the past two decades,
global hydropower capacity has increased by 55% and electricity generated
from hydroelectricity has risen by 21%. Advantages and disadvantages
of hydroelectricity According to the International Energy
Agency, global hydropower capacity in 2050 will reach 2,000 GW, with output
to double the current level, to about 7,000 TWh. Contributions will come
mainly from emerging and developing economies. In the next two decades, to
meet the sustainable development goals in the energy industry, including the
2oC reduction target under the Paris Agreement, the additional hydropower
capacity will rise by about 800 GW. East Asia and the Pacific are the
leading regions for hydropower development in the future, especially China.
According to China's plan, by 2050 the total installed capacity of hydropower
will be 660 GW, equivalent to one-third of global capacity, with an estimated
output of 2190 TWh. Another country with a high output of
hydroelectricity is Brazil. Currently, hydroelectricity accounts for more
than 64% of the total electricity output in the country. Within the next 10
years, about 44 GW of hydropower will be available in the Amazon River
region. India is the world's 7th largest
hydroelectricity producing country, and ranks 4th in the world for hydropower
potential with about 148.7 GW untapped. However, India's potential is mainly
small hydroelectricity, which accounts for more than 70% of the total
estimated potential. Regarding the future development of hydropower, the
Indian government has committed 40% of the total capacity of the system to
come from clean energy sources. Thus, there will be about 20 GW of
hydroelectricity that need to be built in the next 12-13 years. According to the US Energy Agency, the
US could add 50 GW of hydropower between now and 2050, another 6.3 GW will be
added to the system through upgrade and expansion of hydro projects and
existing plants, which includes the restoration of decommissioned
hydroelectricity plants. Vietnam leads Southeast Asia
in hydroelectricity In Southeast Asia, Vietnam currently
takes the lead in hydropower but its large hydropower potential has almost
reached the limit. Laos and Myanmar will be new potential
destinations to attract IPP capital sources for hydropower. The estimated
hydropower potential in Laos is up to 18 GW, while it is 108 GW for in
Myanmar. Small and micro-hydroelectricity is also a concern of ASEAN
countries, especially countries with areas fragmented by oceans and many
rivers and streams. Indonesia is currently investing in small off-grid
hydropower to improve electricity shortages in remote areas. Similarly, in
the Philippines, projects with a capacity of less than 1 MW only take about
six months to build are the focus. According to the Vietnamese Ministry
of Industry and Trade, the economic and technical potential of medium and
large hydroelectricity in Vietnam is about 75-80 billion kWh, equivalent to
about 20,000 MW of installed capacity. Vietnam's total medium and large
hydropower capacity built by 2019 was about 17,930 MW. Most of the remaining capacity has
been invested in and is in the pre-construction stage or under construction. In the period of 2020-2025, the
country’s power system can add about 1,840MW from medium and large
hydroelectricity plants (including expanded projects such as Hoa Binh, Yaly,
Tri An). Small hydropower projects would contribute an additional 2,700MW in
the period up to 2030. In addition to conventional hydropower
sources, Vietnam has the potential to build stored hydroelectric power
sources. According to a study by the Japan
International Cooperation Agency (JICA) entitled “Study on the master plan of
stored hydroelectricity and optimization of power generation in Vietnam” in
2004, from 38 potential locations, the report selected 10 locations that can
be developed under criteria such as construction cost, distance to grid
connection, distance to protected areas, with eight locations in the North
and two sites in the South. The Ministry of Industry and Trade
said that hydropower would continue to play an important role in the clean
energy transition in Vietnam by providing cost-effective, low-carbon
electricity and production services and improve reliability of the power
system. VNN |
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