Sea tensions to remain as
Japan, China curry
ASEAN favor
Regional bloc to
benefit from powerplay, but no breakthrough likely in maritime disputes
Tourists
look toward the Tokyo Skytree at the Sensoji temple in Tokyo, Japan.
Starting July 1, Japan
will relax visa requirements for travelers from five countries from
economically resilient Southeast Asia.
Analysts say Japan and China are seeking better relations with Southeast Asia for a variety of reasons, not just to
counter each other. PHOTO: BLOOMBERG
In the most recent explicit gesture
to step up its engagement with economically resilient Southeast Asia and
shore up a languishing economy, Japan will relax visa
requirements for travelers from five major economies in the region.
The move comes on the heels of Japan’s earlier call for stronger security
ties with members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), with
Tokyo looking to boost alliances at a time of
long-simmering territorial tensions with China.
But given that China is also taking steps to improve its ties
with ASEAN countries, analysts are not expecting any major breakthrough in
the East China Sea dispute that has soured Beijing-Tokyo relations since last
year and the South China Sea tensions in which China and several ASEAN members
are embroiled.
“Usually countries do this because
they want to make more money from the country in question,” said Mark
Valencia, a Hawaii-based expert on the South China Sea dispute, referring to Japan’s
relaxed visa program.
“Better relations and trust has
something to do with it but it is not the primary factor,” he told Vietweek.
Overall, Japan
and China are seeking
better ties with Southeast Asia for a
variety of reasons, not just to counter each other, analysts say.
But either way, “there is no downside
for Southeast Asia, which should reap the
benefits,” said Bonnie Glaser, senior adviser at the Washington-based Center
for Strategic and International Studies.
Starting July 1, Japan will waive visa requirements for
tourists from Thailand and
Malaysia,
and offer multiple-entry visas to Filipino and Vietnamese travelers, The Japan Times reported Wednesday
(June 26).
The visa waiver will apply to Thai
travelers staying less than 15 days and to tourists from Malaysia
staying for no more than three months, the newspaper said, citing the Foreign
Ministry. The visa waiver will only apply to people with IC-equipped
passports, it added.
The multiple-entry visa for Filipino
and Vietnamese travelers will allow them to visit Japan several times within a
period of three years. The maximum stay per visit will be 15 days. Japan
will, meanwhile, extend the maximum stay for multiple-entry visas for
Indonesian travelers to 30 days from the current 15.
“I hope that [the measures] will
further develop relationships between these countries, such as an increase of
travelers from these nations and improvement of convenience in the business
[environment],” Foreign Minister Fumio Kishida was quoted by The Japan Times
as saying.
About 8.37 million foreign visitors
visited Japan
last year, according to the Japan National Tourism Organization. 780,000, or
9.3 percent, were Southeast Asian travelers. The government is looking to
pull in two million from the region in 2016.
Japanese companies have indicated
that Southeast Asia is an appealing alternative to investment in China after the lingering disputes over tiny
islets in the East China Sea erupted last year, sparking anti-Japan sentiment
in China
and triggering boycotts by Chinese consumers and travelers.
ASEAN is looking to create a regional
community in 2015 with combined economies worth US$2 trillion and a
population of 600 million. Japan
is the group's biggest source of foreign direct investment after the European
Union and almost three times the size of China's.
One month after the landslide
election victory of his Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) last December,
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe began his official overseas visits to
ASEAN member nations. He visited Vietnam,
Thailand, and Indonesia in
January and is planning another trip to the region.
“This is in part aimed at avoiding
isolation in Asia, as Sino-Japanese ties
remain tense,” Glaser told Vietweek.
“It may also be intended to
strengthen ties with China's
neighbors who share Japan's
concerns about China's
maritime policies,” she said.
Other than the East China Sea dispute
with Japan, China claims sovereignty over 80 percent of the South China Sea
(called East Sea by Vietnam), which has pitted it directly against Vietnam
and the Philippines.
The waters, which also have Brunei, Taiwan
and Malaysia as claimants,
are thought to hold vast untapped reserves of oil and natural gas that could
potentially place these nations alongside the likes of Saudi Arabia, Russia
and Qatar.
China has also seen the
US “pivot” toward the
Asia-Pacific region and its involvement in the dispute as an attempt to drive
a wedge between Beijing
and its Southeast Asian neighbors.
In a move likely to irk Beijing, US
Secretary of State John Kerry is expected to raise the East
Sea issue at the ASEAN
Regional Forum that includes China,
the US, Russia and
other heavyweights on Tuesday (July 2).
But analysts say Beijing is trying to ease neighbors'
concerns about its rise.
In April, Beijing
apparently for the first time agreed to start talks on a legally binding code
of conduct aimed at easing the tensions in the East Sea
with ASEAN claimants on a bilateral basis.
During the recent visit to China of
Vietnamese President Truong Tan Sang, Chinese President Xi Jinping took a
more conciliatory line, stressing the need for a peaceful resolution to the East Sea
dispute and prevent it from “affecting ties.”
Highlights of the visit were
agreements to set up a hotline to resolve fishing incidents in the contested
waters and to expand a 2006 deal on joint exploration for oil in the Gulf of Tonkin.
Under the joint exploration pact,
Vietnam Oil and Gas Group and China National Offshore Oil Corp will expand
the exploration area to 4,000 square kilometers (2,500 miles) and extend the
plan through 2016.
But while analysts consider the
expansion of the area under joint exploration in the Gulf of Tonkin
a helpful, confidence-building move at the bilateral level, they seek to
downplay its significance.
“The key difference is that maritime
boundaries have already been agreed in the Gulf,” said Euan Graham, a
maritime analyst with Singapore’s
Nanyang Technological University.
“This is not the case elsewhere in
the South China Sea, hence I do not read it as a major breakthrough for the South China Sea [dispute],” he said.
“Vietnam
and China's
game of cat-and-mouse [in the disputed waters] is likely to continue, despite
the efforts of both sides to contain tensions bilaterally.”
By An Dien, Thanh Nien News
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