Vietnam falling into China’s trade
liberalization trap?
China has benefited in a major way
from its bilateral trade with Vietnam.
It mainly buys raw materials, exports processed products and makes modest
investments in Vietnam.
A trap for Vietnam?
Dr. Pham Sy Thanh recently said on VnExpress that if
the value of the Vietnam-China two-way trade is compared with a 3-piece cake,
two would belong to China,
while only one piece is reserved for Vietnam. Thanh is Director of the
Chinese Studies Program, a part of VEPR, an economics and policy research
center.
A VEPR study has shown that 50 percent of Vietnam’s exports to China are raw or preliminarily processed
goods, while 85 percent of its imports from China
are refined products, which means that the balance of trade is strongly in China’s
favor.
At the same time, up to 80 percent of the materials and
technologies Vietnam
uses for its domestic production are Chinese.
Citing the figures, Thanh has warned about the so
called “trade liberalization trap” Vietnam
may be falling into when doing business with China.
The situation is not unique to Vietnam. Some
countries rich in natural resources but with a relatively low level of
industrialization similarly export a large share of natural resources and raw
materials to China.
Meanwhile, China
exports finished products with high competitiveness to those same countries.
“As a result, the natural resource exporting countries
cannot develop industrial production, due to their heavy reliance on raw
material exports and low-value added products,” Thanh said.
Vietnam’s farm
produce export to China
unstable
Vietnam has tasted
more bitter than sweet in doing trade with its neighbor to the north.
In late March, thousands of trucks carrying watermelons
were seen backed up at the Tan Thanh border gate, with Chinese customs
refusing to accept them. As the melons could not be sold, their prices
plunged to VND1,000 per kilo. In the southern provinces, farmers left their
water melons to rot in the fields, or used them to feed their livestock.
Chinese businessmen come to Vietnam to collect everything in
the country, from buffalo toes to sweet potato leaves, from bloodsuckers to
herbs. They place orders with Vietnamese farmers and then disappear from the
market, leaving the harvested products unsold.
What Chinese bring to Vietnam?
Pham Chi Lan, a prominent economist, has emphasized the
point that Chinese businesses “play unfair” when they win contracts for major
projects by submitting the lowest bids on them, then later find ways to
demand additional funding.
Chinese contractors bring Chinese materials, machines,
and workers to Vietnam
to complete the projects, and leave behind low-quality construction works.
Other Chinese come to Vietnam
to collect Vietnamese materials and exploit its natural resources, which does
little to help create jobs and develop the economy.
China is a
longstanding trade partner for Vietnam,
but its investments in Vietnam
have been very modest. A report disclosed that by the end of April 2013,
Chinese registered investment capital had reportedly reached $7.8 billion,
accounting for only 3 percent of total foreign direct investment in Vietnam.
Is China following a neocolonialism
policy?
China has
recently been accused of pursuing a neocolonialism policy in Africa. Chinese come to the Dark
Continent just to exploit the natural resources and use the
local cheap labor force, while bringing nothing good to the land.
Vietnamese analysts say Africa could be a valuable
lesson, and cautionary tale, for Vietnam.
Dat Viet
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