China’s
tactics during HD-981 drilling rig incident
During the HD-981 drilling rig
incident, China
used malicious tactics, civilian and civilian-disguised forces, and conducted
civil and economic measures, not military actions, that were offensive to the
international community.
A vessel of the
China Coast Guard attacked a ship of the Vietnam Fisheries Surveillance.
Using this tactic, China used “white vessels”
(civilian ships) instead of "grey ships" (the navy) to cope with
law enforcement forces of neighboring countries. This strategy was successful
in driving away fishing vessels of the Philippines
out of the Scarborough reef.
China also uses a
mobile drilling rig, not a fixed one. The mobility allows it to quickly put
the rig into the desired position in a short time, enough to surprise the
opponent, and does not allow timely intervention from outside.
The opponent also does not enough time to implement
long-term measures such as legal acts. The time to file an international case
is often quite long.
The Philippines
filed a petition against China
after the Scarborough incident in February
2013, but it will take one year for court establishment procedures and
memorandum preparation to be completed. So, it will not be until this
September that the court may be accepting the case.
During that time, the China National Offshore Oil
Corporation (CNOOC) was able to move the rig so the Court will have no
jurisdiction since the offending object has been withdrawn.
China can also
mobilize a large number of fishing vessels to stop, provoke and attack law
enforcement forces of neighboring countries to create a pretext for localized
conflicts and an attack of “gray ships”.
History has proven that Chinese fishing vessels
conducted aggressive acts in Da Nang in 1962,
in Hoang Sa (Paracels) in 1974 and Scarborough
in 2012.
Deploying its drilling rig in the North, China has not
forgotten its expanding of the Gac Ma (Johnson) base in the South, using the
stratagem “Make a sound in the east, then strike in the west”, to divert the
opponent’s and the world community’s attention.
Position of HD-981 oil rig
China carefully worked out its plan to place the oil
rig 17 nautical miles from Tri Ton Island in order to assert China's views on
their 1996 baseline and that Tri Ton and other islands of Xisha Islands
(Hoang Sa or Paracels of Vietnam) have the right to have the exclusive
economic zone of 200 nautical miles and the continental shelf.
This position also reinforces the view of China that Xisha (Hoang Sa of Vietnam) belongs to China, and that there is no
dispute.
This position is also near Hainan
Island so China can easily mobilize huge
forces of maritime law enforcement, the navy and also fishing vessels to
protect the rig.
If there is commercial oil, the distance from the rig
to the oil pipeline system to Xisha or Hainan
would be shorter. This position is located near block 119 that Exxon has been
drilling, enough to put pressure on American companies but not lead to a
confrontation with the US.
This area is only related to Vietnam
and China, so Beijing expects that
the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) – with its tradition of
neutrality, non-interference in the internal affairs of other countries -
will have no excuse to object to its actions.
Also, this position does not greatly affect
international shipping lanes in the East
Sea (South China Sea) so China’s acts
will not raise world concern over maritime security.
On May 27, China
moved the rig to a new location, 25 nautical miles to the east-southeast of Tri Ton Island, 23 nautical miles from the first position
to the east-northeast, about 150 nautical miles from Ly Son island of Vietnam.
However, this position is still in the exclusive economic zone 200 nautical
miles from Vietnam’s
shore.
However, attempts don’t always turn into reality.
Solutions
International conflicts often have an ending based on
the balance of power and results in political, diplomatic, military, economic
and media fields.
Considering the economic scale, military forces and
communication apparatus, Vietnam
can’t compare with China
- the most populous country in the world.
But Vietnam’s
viewpoint of restraint, not to use military force, and settlement of disputes
by peaceful means is highly appreciated and supported by the countries in the
region and the international community.
The restraint of the Vietnam Coast Guard and Vietnam
Fisheries Surveillance forces before the aggressive attacks of Chinese ships
is not only for themselves but also for regional peace and stability in the
world.
On the international politics chessboard, in an
increasingly flat world, countries more and more need each other and a
sustainable friendship.
Vietnam’s
perspective is evident in the statement by its senior leaders: "Vietnam will
take all necessary, reasonable measures to protect its legitimate rights and
interests. At the same time, Vietnam always shows goodwill, satisfactorily
resolving disagreements through negotiation, dialogue and other peaceful
means, in accordance with the common perception of senior leaders of the two
countries, the bilateral agreement on the fundamentals principles on solving
problems at sea, in accordance with the rules and practices of international
law, especially the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea 1982, and to not
damage the political credibility and cooperation between the two sides.
"
According to Article 33 of the UN Charter, the peaceful
means consist of negotiation, mediation, international organizations and
legal action.
Vietnam has been
and will persist in negotiation, and maintain communication about the tense
situation in the East
Sea to the UN, ASEAN,
the Non-Aligned Movement, and other countries. Indonesia
and Russia
have already expressed willingness to take the mediator role.
The mediator role of Indonesia is also in line with
the ASEAN policy of settling disagreements in the region without interference
from outside. A conciliation commission may be established on the basis of
the UN’s request. The commission’s decisions are not mandatory but its
recommendations and international opinion will give a direction for the
tension.
Vietnam can also
choose a legal solution at the right time when other measures cannot solve
the problem. All solutions that can be implemented depend on the goodwill of
the parties.
Viet Long, VietNamNet Bridge
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