Vietnam needs to boost reform to
reduce reliance on China:
HSBC
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A customs officer
checks made-in-China electronic products imported through Lang Son Border
Gate. Photo: Ngoc Thang
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Despite the limited short term impact of growing
tensions with China, Vietnam
should accelerate economic reform to improve its competitiveness and reduce
its dependence on its northern neighbor, according to the Hong Kong and
Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited (HSBC).
Tourist arrivals from China will likely slow in June, and normalize
in July, HSBC said in a report issued last week on Vietnam's macroeconomic
situation.
Year-to-date, total tourist arrivals
to Vietnam
grew 26.1 percent.
Regarding FDI, worries remain over
whether new investment will continue to flow in.
HSBC said that while Vietnam's FDI
stock remains large (compared to its GDP) the percentage of foreign
investment as a share of total investment is about 20 percent--most of which
belongs to Japanese, Korean, American and Taiwanese investors.
While
registered FDI from China
into Vietnam has risen in
recent years, its total stock is small and Vietnam's
dependence on China
is primarily a supply chain issue.
Core
investors in Vietnam
will stay put, HSBC predicted.
Few
countries advance economically on foreign investment alone and domestic
investment will have to become more efficient.
There are
some signs that the Vietnamese government is making efforts to curb
inefficient public investment and plans to begin focusing on economically
vibrant areas of the country , HSBC said
Vietnam's exports
to China
made up 11 percent of its total exports in 2012. Raw commodities such as
rubber, crude, coal and fruit remain key export items. While an important export
partner, Vietnam’s trade
relationship with China is
stronger on the import side, as much of Vietnam's
raw industrial materials come from China.
This is due
to the fact that Vietnam
primarily relies on cheap labor and fertile land to compete on the international
market.
As a result,
HSBC urged Vietnamese manufacturers to invest in localized inputs as well as
improve their supply chain management to lessen dependence on China in
order to meet the "yarn forward" tariff exemptions offered by the
Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP).
Specifically,
the domestic garment and textile industry aims to reach a localization rate
of 60 percent by 2015.
Vietnam's exports
to China
in 2013 topped $10 billion, while imports from the country reached some $30
billion, according to the Ministry of Industry and Trade.
Ngan Anh, Thanh
Nien News
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