All signs point to growth
for 2015
The General Statistics Office (GSO) reports the
country’s GDP grew by 5.98% for calendar year 2014 – the highest growth
rate since 2011.
In other
positive economic news, the consumer price index (CPI) declined sharply for
the year while the nation’s export turnover has continued its upward trek.
Nguyen Bich Lam, GSO
General Director granted an exclusive interview to a Radio the Voice of
Vietnam (VOV) reporter to discuss the economic results for 2014 along with
upcoming challenges for 2015.
VOV: What
is your assessment of the national economy for 2014?
Mr. Lam: The Vietnamese economy has shown positive signs with GDP
surpassing the 5.8% benchmark for the year. There has been general optimism
among leading economists for the economy as a whole and the agricultural
sector in particular.
The year
2014 was a bumper year with the rice output having increased to a record 955,000 tonnes.
Meanwhile, the seafood, construction and industrial sectors experienced
strong growth as well. Most notably, the manufacturing sector experienced
substantial growth of 98%.
The CPI in December grew by
1.84% from a year earlier. Meanwhile the unemployment rate has remained low
with the economy humming right along generating in excess of one million jobs
this year.
VOV: Apart
from Vietnam’s
economic achievements this year, could you elaborate on the challenges faced
by the national economy?
Mr. Lam: Although inflation has been curbed, it continues to be
affected by other factors such as prices of materials, which are beyond the
control of the government. Vietnam
is an open economy, which means that world trade heavily influences the
inflation rate.
Currently, Vietnam
imports up to 91.2% of production materials from other nations. Therefore,
the fluctuations in world prices directly impact prices in the nation’s
economy.
In addition, despite the
fact that businesses’ production activities show signs of recovery, there
remain challenges. Notably, when the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) comes
into effect in 2015, there will be tougher competition with enterprises
within the ASEAN bloc.
Moreover, the country has
recently signed a number of free trade agreements and has to implement
commitments within these FTAs. There is widespread confidence with the
economic restructuring process, however it has been implemented much too
slowly and we need to pick up the pace.
Vietnam’s labour productivity,
which is the most important ingredient to improving competitiveness of the
national economy, also remains much too low. In recent times, the nation’s
labour productivity has been improving but remains among the lowest in the
region.
This is the number one
challenge for the national economy in 2015 and the key to economic
sustainability.
Reporter:
Could you please elaborate further on Vietnam’s economic prospects for
next year amid a decline in the price of crude oil?
Mr. Lam: Oil is the strategic
commodity that offers enormous potential to propel the country’s economic
growth. The decline in the oil price is great news for the national economy
as it leads to an across the board reduction of manufacturing costs, thus
stimulating economic growth and competitiveness.
Reporter:
Thank you.
VOV
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