Former US diplomat says China aggressively pursuing hegemony
over East Vietnam Sea
International
media express worry over China's
recent construction works in Vietnam's
Truong Sa (Spratly) archipelago. Tuoi Tre
David Brown, a former U.S. diplomat and a freelance writer on
the East Vietnam Sea disputes, told Tuoi Tre News in an interview on Sunday that the U.S.
has to regard China's
aggressive pursuit of hegemony over the sea as “disruptive” and “potentially
dangerous.”
Chinese land reclamation activity and
installation construction at BaiTu Nghia (Hughes Reef) in Vietnam’s Truong Sa
(Spratly) archipelago has been identified for the first time by satellite
imagery analysed by IHS Jane's Defense Weekly, based in Coulsdon, Surrey
(England).
According to IHS Jane's Defense, the
imagery, provided by Airbus Defence and Space and taken in January, also
shows the progress of construction at Gac Ma (Johnson South Reef), belonging to
the Spratly archipelago as well.
IHS Jane's previously used AIS transponder
signals to monitor the movements of the Chinese dredger Tian Jing Hao through
the Cum Dao Sinh Ton (Union Banks) and Cum Dao Nam Yet (Tizard
Banks) regions in late 2013 and early 2014. It was present at Hughes Reef
between March 20 and April 3, 2014.
The U.S. military has acknowledged that it is
flying its most-advanced surveillance aircraft, the P-8A Poseidon, over the East Vietnam
Sea. Will Washington provide Vietnam with information acquired
by the P-8A Poseidon?
The U.S.
has intensified surveillance of the [East
Vietnam Sea]
area since the HD981 incident last summer and, of course, it has closely
monitored China's
'island-building' activity on the Spratlys’ rocks and reefs. It is also
assisting Vietnam and the Philippines
to upgrade maritime surveillance capabilities and doubtless has shared
surveillance information in this respect.
For many years, the U.S. has
relied on the P-3, an aircraft put into service in the 1960's, for
surveillance tasks. The first P-8, based on the Boeing 737 airframe, with a
longer cruising range than the P-3 and state of the art electronic equipment,
entered service in 2012.
Victor Gao, Director of the
China National Association of International Studies, told Russia Today that China considers growing
U.S. military activity in the waters of the East Vietnam Sea as hostile,
which may lead to destabilizing the situation in the disputed region. What do
you think?
Speaking at a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing on worldwide
threats last Thursday, Director of U.S.
National Intelligence James Clapper said China
is expanding its outposts in the East
Vietnam Sea
to include stationing for ships and potential airfields as part of its
“aggressive” effort to exert sovereignty.
His comments underscore U.S.
concern over land reclamation activities that could fuel tensions between China and
its neighbours over disputed islands and reefs.
The U.S.
intelligence chief described China’s
claims traced by a so-called nine-dash line a rough boundary covering more
than 80 percent of the East
Vietnam Sea
as “exorbitant.”
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Take the U.S.
out of the [East
Vietnam Sea]
equation and a radically different outcome may be inevitable. The U.S. has two
objectives. First, it has a strong, long-standing interest in the safety of
navigation through the [East
Vietnam Sea].
Like other nations whose prosperity depends importantly on unimpeded
commercial shipping in this "Asian Mediterranean," the U.S. has to regard China's
aggressive pursuit of hegemony over the [East Vietnam
Sea] as disruptive and
potentially dangerous. American deployment of military forces in the Western
Pacific is intended to help maintain an environment that permits continued
highly profitable trade relations among all nations, notably including China.
Second, it is a fundamental principle that no nation, however large and
strong, has the right to bully others. The principle of the 'international
order' is no less valid even though it has often been flouted. A system of
international law is available to sort out claims to sovereignty in the [East Vietnam
Sea], and Washington will, to the extent possible,
foster conditions that favor such a peaceful reconciliation of rival claims.
Chinese Foreign Ministry
spokesman Hong Lei said his country's activities on shoals and in surrounding
waters it claims are "reasonable, legitimate and legal" and that
its attitude has been one of "restraint and responsibility.” Can you
comment on Beijing’s
“restraint and responsibility”?
That's China's opinion. China has
taken possession of seven 'features' – rocks and reefs – in the Spratly Archipelago,
in one case (Johnson South Reef) after a fierce battle with Vietnamese forces
in 1988. It agreed, when it signed the ASEAN Declaration on the Conduct of
Parties in the [East
Vietnam Sea]
(DOC) in 2002, to refrain from “activities that would complicate or escalate
disputes and affect peace and stability.” An impartial observer would surely
conclude that China's
island-building activity is neither restrained nor responsible. China claims, further, that it is just
'catching up' with activity by other countries like Vietnam. But
in fact Vietnam has just
enacted anti-erosion measures on some islands of the Spratlys while China’s land
“reclamation” is far more ambitious.
How should countries with
sovereignty claims and other legitimate interests in the East Vietnam
Sea react to China’s
expansion?
Cooperation among the ASEAN claimants to
various reefs, rocks and islands in the [East Vietnam
Sea] is urgent. Malaysia, Brunei,
the Philippines and Vietnam ought
to have gotten together long ago to sort out their respective claims. It is
time to form up a united front vis-a-vis China and it should be an urgent
and top priority task of Vietnamese diplomacy. Indonesia
and Singapore
should be invited to join such talks as observers and facilitators. Success
in establishing a joint ASEAN claimants' position would facilitate dealing
with China.
The Center for Strategic and
International Studies based in Washington D.C. said China is unusual in how it has
been "dramatically changing the size and structure of physical land
features." Could you address this point more specifically?
Though Beijing
claims it is only 'catching up,' Chinese engineering activity in the Spratlys
dwarfs the activity of Vietnam,
Malaysia and the Philippines
combined. The scale and speed with which China
is establishing these 'facts' confirms that a hawk faction controls [East Vietnam
Sea] decision-making in Beijing. Many in the
Chinese party and government believe that an aggressive posture is not in China's long
term interest but they have been shouted down by so-called 'patriots.'
Many observers say Vietnam may
have to worry about a permanent Chinese military presence off its
southeastern coast because Chinese motives for militarizing the Spratlys may
not be purely defensive. What do you think?
Those 'observers' are correct. China aims to establish its hegemony over all
of the [East Vietnam Sea].
The engineering works that China
has in progress in the Spratlys will facilitate Beijing's 'force projection' capability
toward the southern part of this vast maritime area.
Expansion activities by China in Vietnam's Spratlys. Source: IHS Jane's Defense Weekly
David Brown is a freelance writer on contemporary Vietnam, with particular reference to that
nation's political and economic life, international relations, media
culture and environmental challenges and to territorial disputes in the East Vietnam Sea.
Brown's work as an American diplomat first took him to the
embassy in wartime Saigon from 1965 to
1969. Subsequently he served the U.S. Government for 31 years in several
other Asian and European capitals as well as in Washington, D.C.
Following his retirement from the U.S. State Department,
Brown was a vice president of the Stanton Group, a developer of energy
infrastructure projects.
Then, in 2005-2008, he returned to Vietnam to
lead Fauna & Flora International's environmental education program for
secondary and college-age students of the Ha Long Bay area.
In 2008, Brown moved to Hanoi, where he was an editor and
staff trainer at the online newspaper VietNamNet Bridge, a contributor to
the executive intelligence service Oxford Analytica, an instructor in ‘the
Art of Translation’ at Hanoi Foreign Language University and a lecturer on
contemporary Vietnam and Cambodia to groups of Western travelers.
In 2011, he began contributing articles to the online
regional journals Asia Times and Asia Sentinel, in 2012 also to Yale Global
and East Asia Forum, and now also to China Economic Quarterly, Asianomics,
The National Interest and Foreign Affairs. Brown lives in Fresno, California.
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