BUSINESS NEWS HEADLINES APRIL 22
Housing
prices unlikely to drop despite pandemic: experts
Experts
believe that the real estate market is unlikely to fall into a crisis and
housing prices will remain stable because market demand remained high while
supply is limited.
The COVID-19
pandemic is heavily weighing on a number of sectors, and property is no
exception. The market saw a significant fall in transactions in the first
quarter of this year.
Statistics
from CBRE Viet Nam showed that only 1,600 apartments were put on sale in the
first quarter, much lower than the quarterly average of 6,500 apartments
recorded since 2012.
Despite
fewer transactions, prices have not dropped off as expected. According to
CBRE, average housing prices in the primary market rose by around four per
cent during that time.
The Viet Nam
Association of Realtors said market supply and successful transaction volume
in the first quarter of this year were both at their lowest levels for the
past four years, with no new developments launched.
The
association said buyers were seemingly waiting for drops in housing prices to
make purchasing decisions. Buyers tended to think that the property market
would fall into a crisis and prices would drop due to the impacts of the
COVID-19 pandemic.
However,
experts said that a crisis was unlikely.
The
situation appears to be different from the real estate crises in 1997-98 and
2007-08 when housing prices fell to rock-bottom levels. The crises were
fuelled by easy credit for real estate which inflated housing prices, coupled
with low-capacity developers in the market.
The market
was quiet in the first quarter due to social distancing, real estate expert
Dang Hung Vo said. The market still had high demand and limited supply, he
added.
He said the
COVID-19 pandemic would cause difficulties in the short term, but real estate
was a long-term investment.
Vo said that
that the number of new projects licenced in 2019 was equivalent to just 20
per cent of the previous year.
In the next
three years, new supply would drop significantly, he said.
According to
Pham Duc Toan, general director of EZ Real Estate, housing prices would
remain stable in the medium and long terms because of limited supply.
The previous
crises eliminated weak developers from the market, and now players mostly had
good capacity and experience, which would help them overcome this difficult
time.
Vu Cuong
Quyet, general director of the Northern Green Land Real Estate and Services
Joint Stock Company, said that instead of lowering prices, developers were
offering other promotions to attract buyers, such as longer interest terms
and free interior design packages.
CapitaLand secures $280
million in green loans to green out global portfolio by 2030
CapitaLand on April 17, 2020 has secured a total of SGD400 million (approximately $280 million) in two bilateral green loans to catalyse the greening out of the group’s global portfolio by 2030.
The loans
extended to CapitaLand include SGD150 million ($105.46 million) four-year
green loan provided by DBS Bank Ltd. (DBS) while the SGD250 million ($175.76
million) three-year multi-currency green loan is provided by HSBC's Singapore
Branch.
The proceeds
from these green loans will be used towards the financing or refinancing of
the development, investment, and acquisition of certified green buildings.
The green
buildings must achieve or are expected to achieve minimally a Green Mark
GoldPLUS certification by the Building and Construction Authority of
Singapore (BCA) or a Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED)
Gold rating by the United States Green Building Council.
According to
Andrew Lim, CFO of CapitaLand Group, CapitaLand’s continued efforts in
sustainable finance shows its strong dedication to responsible growth.
With the
latest SGD400 million ($281 million) in green loans, CapitaLand and its real
estate investment trusts have raised in excess of SGD1.32 billion ($928
million) through sustainable finance.
“The funds
will further underpin our sustainability efforts, creating better
environmental, social, and governance (ESG) outcomes for the communities we
operate in,” he added.
CapitaLand’s
corporate offices across three locations in Singapore will be 100 per cent
powered by renewable energy by the end of 2020.
HCM City pushes ahead with
key ventures
Despite the serious impacts of the ongoing global health crisis, Ho Chi Minh City’s real estate market has seen outstanding breakthroughs for a range of projects resumed after long delays.
Ho Chi Minh
City Department for Construction recently issued permission for three
projects to sell their apartment units after passing enough conditions to
provide to the market.
One of the
three projects is Block H of Binh Chieu Residential Area in Thu Duc district
with 214 units, invested in by Thu Duc House Development JSC.
Another
example is Phu My Hung Development Corporation’s project that was approved to
sell 193 units out of the total 242 units located in District 7.
At the end
of March, some projects were announced to be launched in April. As such, Hung
Thinh Corporation is going to introduce a new project located next to Thu Duc
district. This project will offer more than 3,000 units to the market.
Meanwhile,
other developers such as Van Phuc Group and Kien A Corporation are waiting
for the time after the pandemic to launch their projects.
Furthermore,
Ho Chi Minh City Department of Planning and Investment currently has a list
of 46 projects which are considered to be pipelined, with many of those
belonging to large-scale and foreign developers. Among those, Phu My Hung
Development Corporation proposed to solve the land clearance and compensation
in some of the precincts of its project. Meanwhile, Novaland requested to
continue its 30-hectare project in District 2.
Hanwha Life
Insurance also submitted a proposal to the city to acquire the SJC Building
in District 1 while Sun Wah Properties has asked for permission to set up a
pre-feasibility study for Hoa Lu Underground Car Park.
Meanwhile,
the Singaporean developer Mapletree wants to participate in land auctions for
the multifunctional complex in District 5 and District 1.
According to
Eric Solberg, chairman and CEO of EXS Capital Group, foreign investors still
remain positive when it comes to the prospects for high-end residences.
Over the
past few years, EXS Capital Group invested around $200 million together with
SonKim Land to build up a luxury real estate development in Ho Chi Minh City.
More than half of the units of the group’s latest project named Metropole Thu
Thiem located in District 2 have already been sold, with development and construction
proceeding well.
“This
project will be fine, even if sales are a bit slower this year. Obviously,
the large, fun sales events for which SonKim Land is well known are currently
postponed due to the social distancing measures. However, as soon as the
pandemic has passed, I am sure the demand for these very high-quality units
as well as most other forms of real estate will come back,” Solberg told VIR.
Meanwhile,
Inoue Yoshitaka, business development manager of Creed Group, a Japanese real
estate investment group with a primary focus on the Southeast and South Asian
real estate markets, told VIR that Vietnam is very attractive to foreign
investors, especially those from Japan. “Ho Chi Minh City’s population is
growing by 3 per cent per year and the supply is not keeping up. I believe
the real estate market will continue to grow due to the strong demand.
Therefore, we think it is still a very attractive market for overseas
investors. However, difficulties to understand legal revisions and licensing
processes remain. As soon as these are clarified, I am sure Japanese
investors would act more aggressively,” he said.
Since 2014,
Creed Group has been involved in a comprehensive co-operation agreement with
the domestic An Gia Corporation to build a number of projects in Ho Chi Minh
City.
Accordingly,
Creed would invest around $200 million into An Gia by buying stakes and
transferring technology. After five years of co-operation, both partners have
developed more than 10,000 units with a total of more than one million square
metres.
Some experts
have predicted that the real estate market will be back to normal from the
end of the second quarter when many large scale projects are in preparation
to launch into the market.
According to
Duong Thuy Dung, senior director of CBRE Vietnam, there could be two
scenarios in the real estate market this year. In the first, the pandemic
will be contained by June, leaving the average marketwide selling price
expected to increase by 5 per cent on-year, with mid-end and affordable
segments forecasted to have a modest growth rate of 1-3 per cent due to a
large competitive supply.
In this
scenario, high-end segments could get a price increase by 5 per cent on-year.
Many luxury projects are licensed in District 1 and District 3, and their
selling price is expected to increase from 5-7 per cent. The sold units
volume would drop by 3 per cent mostly attributed to decrease of transactions
in the high-end and luxury segments.
In the
second scenario, the pandemic will be contained by September, which would
cause a significant drop in new launches in 2020. The supply decline would
mainly concentrate in high-end and luxury segments. Primary selling prices
could drop by 6 per cent on-year as the majority of the supply will be in the
mid-end segment. Meanwhile, the transaction volume under this scenario could
plummet due to the restrictions in public places.
CBRE
forecasts that approximately 13,575 units could be sold within this year,
meaning a decrease of 55 per cent compared to last year.
Ho Chi Minh City and Hanoi
facing large-scale disruption in office for lease
Ho Chi Minh City is predicted to experience a period of difficulty during the COVID-19, while Hanoi will face accelerated pressure on rents but will remain stable.
According to
Alex Crane, managing director of Cushman & Wakefield (C&W) Vietnam,
like many other segments of the real estate market, office for lease has been
impacted by the coronavirus.
Vietnam
enters this period with a strong tailwind and growth in the wider economy – and
this is reflected in the performance of the office markets in the country.
“Ho Chi Minh
City enters into this with historically low vacancy and high rental rates,
along with continued demand and limited future supply. Whereas pre-pandemic
these factors would accelerate rent increases faster, we are of the belief
that this will slow rental increases in the city, but the pandemic will not
result in falling rents across the Ho Chi Minh City market," said Crane.
He had
further advised caution but does not expect pain in the Hanoi market.
At the end
of 2019, C&W reviewed the supply forecast for Hanoi and as a result, felt
that headline or asking rents would fall marginally through 2020 by
approximately 10-15 per cent across the market.
Of course,
this is broadly speaking across the three submarkets in Hanoi, and the
underlying performance of each will be very difficult with Hoan Kiem district
being the least affected, and the midtown area receiving more rent pressure
as a result of new supply.
It is
obvious that the COVID-19 outbreak will accelerate this trend as building
construction will ultimately continue and as demand slightly reduces.
The net
impact of this is that there will be a prolonged period of higher vacancy
through 2020 and 2021, likely hovering at around 18 per cent, meaning that
some landlords will need to be more competitive with their terms, thus having
the effect of pulling down the average rent across the market.
Crane also
mentions that Hanoi’s market may provide opportunities following the COVID-19
pandemic.
“With
respect to occupiers and multinational companies post-pandemic, we anticipate
that Vietnam’s tremendous performance in response to this crisis will
encourage greater investment into the country, and we will also see an
acceleration of manufacturing and service industries within the country, much
of which will be driven by multinational foreign companies. Hanoi, in
particular, will be an attractive destination for these businesses, given
that it has a central regional location and fast-improving infrastructure to
support manufacturing, urbanisation, and exports, which are all potential
drivers for higher office demand and equally faster growth,” he added.
He forecast
further transactions would be completed within the second quarter of 2020,
thus supporting momentum through the COVID-19 period.
“Transactions
that are earlier in the process are typically being deferred, and we expect
these to speed up again once the position, with regard to COVID-19, is easier
to assess. Vietnam remains a market that multinational companies forecast as
having a positive future and growth despite COVID-19’s potential impact on
GDP,” he added.
Empire City leaders vow to
kick off 88-storey tower
Work is to start in 2020 on the basement level of a 88-storey tower complex in Ho Chi Minh City, the landmark building in the Empire City project, with many outstanding obstacles are on the way to finally being cleared. The joint venture for the $1.2 billion Thu Thiem Observation Tower complex in District 2 is set to be Vietnam’s tallest such tower.
According to
Vo Sy Nhan, general director of Empire City – the joint venture backing the
project – the company recently sent documents to competent bodies of the city
to ask for the pushing ahead of legal procedures related to the project. Nhan
had suggested five proposals to help the venture develop on a planned
schedule.
Among those,
Nhan suggested the local authorities to reissue the revised investment
certificate after the joint venture had increased its contribution capital
from $76 million to $240 million in 2018, and extension of the contribution
progress from within 36 months from the day it received investment
certificate in June 2015, to right after it receives the revised investment
certificate.
The joint
venture also suggested the local authorities issue land use right certificates
for five land plots in the project, approving investment plan for the second
phase of this project, granting the announcement of having enough condition
to be sold residential units in land plots 2-16 and 2-17, and confirmation of
a fund contribution of VND756 billion ($32.8 million) to be a part of the
project’s contribution for land using rent.
According to
Nhan, the company has finished the frame of the 30-storey apartment building
of this project, and estimates handover to buyers in the first quarter of
2021. “We have so far disbursed around VND10 trillion ($434 million) into
this project with thousands of labourers working at the site every day. We
have been trying our best to complete this project on time,” Nhan said.
Ho Chi Minh
City Department for Planning and Investment said that some of the above
suggestions of Empire City were recently met. Nhan meanwhile committed that
after all barriers are evaded, the company would start the underground
basement for the 88 stories Observation Tower - the landmark construction of
this project at the end of 2020.
The Thu
Thiem Observation Tower complex was granted an investment certificate in 2015
with the total investment capital of $1.2 billion. The project is built in a
14.5 hectare land area in Thu Thiem New Urban Area.
Empire City
consists of the two domestic companies of Tien Phuoc Real Estate JSC and Tran
Thai Real Estate JSC, as well as two foreign investors – Corredance Pte.,
Ltd. of Singapore and Denver Power Ltd., of the British Virgin Islands.
According to
the construction plan, the whole project is to be completed in 2022 and has
been divided into four phases since 2016. Some of the buildings were erected
in the second phase from 2017 to 2019, while the 88-storey tower complex
itself is being built in the third phase to 2021, with the remainder to be
built before 2022.
As per a
representative from Ho Chi Minh City Department for Planning and Investment,
the revised investment certificate (the first change) was issued to the
investor at the end of last year to increase the contributed capital to
implement the project from $76 million to $240 million and adjusting the
capital contribution schedule to implement the venture. After adjustment, the
contributed capital to implement the project is equivalent to $240 million,
accounting for 20 per cent of total investment capital. The ratio was shared
among the four sides with Tran Thai and Tien Phuoc in equal share of 15 per
cent each, Denver Power with 30 per cent, and Corredance with the highest
proportion at 40 per cent.
Right before
Lunar New Year, Chairman of Ho Chi Minh City People’s Committee Nguyen Thanh
Phong had assigned competent bodies of the city to actively solve the
project’s outstanding issues in order to speed up the venture.
Vietnam Property Awards set
golden real estate standards
After an immense success for local real estate developers during last year’s Vietnam Property Awards, this year’s applicants are targeting to replicate this achievement, showcasing the class and finesse of Vietnamese real estate to the world.
Throughout
the last six years, the Vietnam Property Awards have step by step improved to
reflect the high values of the Vietnamese real estate market.
Under the
pressure of the ongoing international health crisis, this year the organisers
have conducted a thorough review and analysis of the current market to give
the awards a fresh direction. Accordingly, the awards in 2020 have added
further categories aimed at young designers and new developers associated
with the trend of green architecture and sustainable development.
Typically,
the number of categories has been increased and diversified each year to
reflect new trends in the market. This year, the awards have a total of 50
categories. Those categories are reviewed and selected based on the
evaluation of various factors in the current situation of the Vietnamese real
estate market.
The careful
selection of nominees and the evaluation of their projects will help
developers and investors to showcase their potential, overcome the challenges
imposed by global events.
Last year,
the Vietnam Property Awards helped the domestic Kien A Group reach out to the
international real estate market with the highest award The Best of The Best.
This year, domestic Vietnam property developers hope to achieve the same, if
not an even better, result.
To offer
more space and comfort to participants and nominees, this year’s awards
ceremony will be held at the GEM Convention Centre – one of the largest
high-quality convention centres in Ho Chi Minh City.
Since 2015,
the Vietnam Property Awards have been one of the most well-known awards for
the Vietnamese real estate market, and are linking property markets in
different countries throughout the world.As part of the Asia Property Awards,
which this year had entered its 15th season and is held in many countries
such as Thailand, Singapore, and Malaysia, the Vietnam Property Awards create
meaningful and highly-respected impressions in the local real estate market.
With
transparent and fair judgment supervised by Binder Dijker Otte (BDO), one of
the world’s largest auditing and accountancy firms, the awards are considered
to reflect the value and quality of real estate developers and their projects
in both domestic and global markets.
Despite
having a separate judging panel in each country, the Asia Property Awards
share the same standing committee and the same evaluation process.
In addition
to receiving the local awards, Vietnamese real estate developers can
participate in the region’s finals in Thailand’s Bangkok city, where they
could be not only honoured with yet another award but also increase
international recognition.
The sixth
season of the Awards has officially kicked off and is currently receiving
nominations and registrations. Deadline for applications for all categories
is June 12. All projects can be registered online at
asiapropertyawards.com/nominations.
OYO extends support to
embassies
OYO has just come to the aid of embassies with international guests stranded in Vietnam and in need of affordable and clean living spaces by offering discounts of up to 50 per cent at all of its properties.
The offer
from the online booking group is in response to many requests on social media
and elsewhere from non-governmental organisations for rooms, apartments, and
homes for those affected by the travel restrictions and waiting to be
repatriated.
Dushyant
Dwibedy, country head at OYO Vietnam, said as a provider of essential
services and a key stakeholder in the tourism and travel industry, OYO has an
added responsibility to ensure those who are in need of clean affordable
living spaces have access to just that.
He said, “We
hope that by offering rooms at discounted prices, we can alleviate some of
the burden shouldered by these guests and ensure they have ready access to
clean affordable living spaces as they wait to return home to their
respective countries.”
Dwibedy
added that OYO continues to receive requests. “They come from our hotel
partners in other cities and provinces wanting to be included in the list of
hotels that have extended help to guests stranded in Vietnam.” The list will
be updated regularly and the group urges all in need of rooms to call the OYO
Careline for an updated list of hotels.
“Our effort
reflects the organisation’s culture and values, which we hope would spur
others in Vietnam to help our guests during this challenging and uncertain time,”
Dwibedy said.
OYO will
continue to accept reservations and check-ins from all guests during the
entire period of social distancing in Vietnam. The group is also offering
special long-stay rates for foreign guests who are stranded following the
travel restrictions and need suitable living spaces during this period. These
long-stay rates also apply to guests who want to practice self-quarantine at
this time. At present, a great number of foreigners and other visitors
staying in cities and provinces across the country cannot return to their
hometowns due to the interruption of international flights. Particularly, in
Ho Chi Minh City, more than 400 tourists from various nations including
Japan, Germany, Russia, and France are staying in over 30 top-class hotels in
the city.
Effective
immediately, international guests can book rooms by contacting the OYO
Careline on (+84) 924 970 366 or (+91) 9811 882 750 (WhatsApp) 24 hours a
day, seven days a week. The properties involved are based in cities/provinces
including Hanoi, Ho Chi Minh, Vung Tau, Nha Trang, and Phu Quoc Island.
For all
other further guidance and assistance, please contact OYO’s partner support
team via the Careline or on email at mm.vn@oyorooms.com.
Vietnam’s second-home segment
on the rise
Kenneth
Atkinson, founder and senior board adviser at Grant Thornton Vietnam, shares
with Bich Ngoc his opinion on the future for Vietnam’s second home market.
Vietnam has been one of the
top-performing inbound tourism markets over the last few years. In January,
the country received just under 2 million foreign visitors in one month
alone. Much of this rapid increase in inbound tourists has come from China,
South Korea, and Japan, who together have contributed more than 50 per cent
to the inbound tourism market.
Tourism is a
major contributor to national GDP with over 10 per cent and has contributed
to the country becoming one of the fastest-growing economies in the world
with GDP growth at over 7 per cent in the last two years.
Foreign
direct investment (FDI) has also seen record highs. Among the top five
investors, China has just taken the fifth position in 2019, right behind the
four top investor markets South Korea, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Japan. The
FDI stream from these Asian economies has also led to a significant increase
in interest from property buyers.
Foreign
homeowners can be a major factor contributing to the rate of returning
visitors to a country, such as in the example of Thailand, where the return
rate for visitors usually sits close to or above 70 per cent. Meanwhile,
Vietnam has currently a rather low portion of returning visitors.
However,
Vietnam to offer a lot when comes to the property market, such as attractive
prices and stunning locations, particularly because of its coastline of over 1,900
kilometres and countless pristine beaches.
Although
foreigners have been able to buy property in Vietnam since 2015, the
regulations have not been very clear and the projects that are authorised to
sell to foreigners have yet to be clearly nominated in most locations.
Also,
foreign ownership is limited to 30 per cent of each development. However,
this does not seem to have deterred Chinese and other Asian buyers who have
been preparing to invest in property through long-term lease contracts rather
than requiring actual title deeds.
Key drivers
for the local property market are affordability and accessibility,
particularly in the coastal resort areas such as Ha Long Bay, Haiphong,
Danang, and Phu Quoc. All of these locations have international airports and
a growing number of regional flights and casinos.
Home prices
in Vietnam are starting at $2,500 per square metre for high-end apartments
and go up to $6,000-10,000 per square metre for luxury property in Ho Chi
Minh City, which is still considered relatively cheap for many Asian buyers.
Market
experts also expect to see a rise in the number of branded residences as the
interest from more affluent buyers remains high. Vietnam currently has the
third-highest number of projects in the pipeline to meet their demand. Rental
yields on city properties remain decent at 6-8 per cent in the better
developments and many developers in the coastal resort areas have attracted
buyers with high guaranteed returns of 8-10 per cent for 10 years, although
it is expected that these will fall back on default values over the coming
months, not only because of the impact of COVID-19.
In total,
however, rental yields in Vietnam are significantly higher than say in
Bangkok and other parts of Thailand, and Singapore.
The growing
demand from the rapidly growing Vietnamese middle class, which is expected to
grow from under 20 per cent to 40 per cent in the next seven to 10 years,
will ensure a high level of local demand as well as increasing foreign demand
to ensure returns on investment.
Recent
significant improvements in infrastructure have been another key driver in
the attraction of foreign investors, particularly so around Ho Chi Minh City
with its links to the coast as well as Hanoi and its links to places like Ha
Long Bay. The metro systems in both major cities will be operational from
2021 and this will open up some of the outlying city areas for further
investment opportunities.
According to
Baker Mckenzie, the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific
Partnership (CPTPP), which came into force in January 2019, is expected to
further benefit the real estate market in Vietnam.
Foreign
investors will be protected through the Investor-State Dispute Settlement
(ISDS) mechanism, which applies to cross-border investments in the property
development and the CPTPP also enlarges the real estate services in which
foreign investors can participate in, including the brokerage services,
exchange floors, consulting services, and management services, with respect
to both residential and commercial properties.
Because of
its affordability, Vietnam is also a potential market for retirement homes,
and a programme similar to Malaysia’s second home programme would be very
attractive to a lot of retirees in the Asia Pacific region and some from
Europe and North America.
Service apartment show stable
development in the real estate market
With the steady growth of business travel and changing accommodation trends, serviced apartments are becoming an appealing alternative to other forms of property investment.
This real
estate segment targets foreign tenants living and working in Vietnam, including
long-term employees and a few short-term tourists. Tenants of high-end
serviced apartments often work in foreign-invested companies, embassies,
industrial parks, international banks, and technology companies.
According to
Savills Vietnam, as of the end of 2019, Ho Chi Minh City has had around 6,000
apartment units with an average net rental of $25 per square metre per month
and an occupancy rate at 84 per cent.
Le Thi Quynh
Le, associate director for residential sales of Savills Ho Chi Minh City, said
that backed by strong foreign direct investment flows, the serviced apartment
sector continues to perform well. This resilience will be tested in the face
of increased completions of hotels and a wave of new apartment complexes.
In Ho Chi
Minh City, latest grade A and B serviced apartment projects can be attributed
to Mai House, D1Mension Residences, and Republic Plaza, which in total offer
more than 300 new units to the market. Other big brand names in this segment
are Ascott, Frasers Hospitality, and Pan Pacific. CapitaLand’s wholly-owned
lodging business unit, The Ascott Limited Ascott, has been operating in
Vietnam for 25 years.
Starting
with its first project Somerset West Lake Hanoi, so far Ascott’s portfolio
comprises of over 7,000 lodging units in 28 properties across nine cities and
provinces, such as in Hanoi, Haiphong, and Ho Chi Minh City.
According to
Lew Yen Ping, regional general manager for Ascott in Vietnam, Cambodia and
Myanmar, the company continues to expand its presence in Vietnam with the
openings of PentStudio West Lake Hanoi and Somerset D1Mension Ho Chi Minh
City in 2019, as well as Citadines Pearl Hoi An and Citadines Marina Halong
City in 2020.
“In
addition, Ascott also will open a new brand with the Ascott Serviced
Residences in 2021. Meanwhile, our first 5-star Vertu hotel in Cam Ranh under
the portfolio of TAUZIA Hotels, which is slated to open in 2022, is Ascott’s
first move into the lodging segment beyond its core business of serviced
residences,” Lew said.
Elsewhere,
Frasers Hospitality, a member of Frasers Property Group, has now a total of
more than 670 units with two operating projects of Fraser Suites Hanoi and
Capri by Frasers in Ho Chi Minh City. This company is opening its third
project named Fraser Residence Hanoi this year.
Many other
junior brands include names like Happy Homes, InterContinental Residences
Saigon, Homestead Parkview, Merin City Suites, and Vinhomes Central Park
Apartments.
The average
rent for serviced apartment units now is ranging around $35 and $28 per
square metre for grade A and B apartments respectively. By 2022, 1,500 new
units will enter in response to the growing demand for long-term stays, which
is mostly generated by increasingly favourable visa policies and an influx of
foreign investment.
In Hanoi, by
the end of 2019, there were approximately 4,600 apartment units with an
occupancy rate of 82 per cent. An estimated 2,700 units from 22 projects will
enter the Hanoian market this year, including three projects in the west of
the city.
Different
from Ho Chi Minh City, Hanoi’s serviced apartments are facing stiff
competition by buy-to-let apartments. Those are located in Tay Ho, Long Bien,
Ciputra, and the west of the city.
The South
Korean community, leading the group of serviced apartment tenants, has
changed its demand from renting serviced apartments at projects to apartments
that are bought by the individual investors to rent. Many of them even
decided to buy apartments or houses in Vietnam.
Apartment prices in Ho Chi
Minh City down 15 per cent on-quarter
The price of apartments for sale in Ho Chi Minh City in the first quarter of 2020 dropped by 15 per cent compared to the last quarter of 2019, according to Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) Vietnam.
In its
report released on March 31, JLL stated that the average price of apartments
in the first quarter of 2020 was $2,453 per square metre, 15 per cent lower
than in the last months of 2019.
This price,
however, was still higher than in the same period last year. Currently, all
projects in the market maintain price stability and are not affected by the
COVID-19.
Accordingly,
luxury apartments are quoted at an average price of $7,237 per square metre,
while mid- and high-end apartments are priced at $2,206 and $3,551 per square
metre and the affordable segment is at $1,204.
The
absorption of high-end apartments has been slower due to the impacts of the
COVID-19 which is hindering buyers from pouring large volumes of capital into
property.
Along with
the limited supply, the number of apartments sold in the first three months
of 2020 was only slightly more than 1,980 units, half of the same period of
2019. The absorption rate was 54 per cent of the total number of available
units launched to the market – the lowest rate recorded in the last two
years.
Amid the
COVID-19 outbreak, a number of projects were reported to delay construction
and launches, resulting in fewer units launched than previously expected.
About 1,200-2,000 units are expected to enter the market in 2020. However,
this is subject to great uncertainty, depending on how long the outbreak will
last.
Japanese bank Mizuho to stop
lending to coal power plants
Japanese financial giant Mizuho Financial Group will stop investing and offering loans to new coal power projects as well as end all loans for coal by 2050.
Mizuho – one
of the three so-called megabanks of Japan – plans to reduce its outstanding
balance of JPY300 billion ($2.8 billion) in loans to coal power plants by
half by the 2030 fiscal year and reduce it to zero by 2050.
he bank will
go to great lengths to de-carbonate as coal power plants emit massive amounts
of CO2 – a major contributor to global warming, according to Asahi.
Newswire
Reuters also cited the shareholder resolution sent to the Mizuho management
last month requiring the bank to align with the Paris Agreement.
It was the
first time a publicly-traded Japanese company has been sent a shareholder
resolution on climate change. The resolution was sponsored by Kiko Network, a
Japanese activist group that focuses on coal and also holds shares in Mizuho.
“Climate
change is one of the most important global issues that can affect financial
market stability,” Mizuho said in its recent statement. “Responding to the
environment and climate change is a key issue in our business strategy.”
The revised
guidelines are likely to take effect in June. Accordingly, Mizuho will not
allow its borrowers to refinance their loans for these projects.
Experts warn
that Japanese banks are among the few major lenders who have stuck to
providing loans to coal projects, while other lenders such as JP Morgan have
cut lending to the sector.
Data from
Refinitiv SDC Platinum reveals that Mizuho is among the three largest lenders
in the world pouring investment in coal power and mining over the last five
years.
Japan’s two
other biggest banks – Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group and Mitsubishi UFJ
Financial Group – are also in the top five.
However,
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. confirmed last year that it would halt
new investments and debts to coal power plants, in principle. Sumitomo Mitsui
Financial Group Inc. is also slated to follow suit with a similar financing
policy, Asahi reported.
A source at
Sumitomo Mitsui told Reuters its banking unit would change its financing
guidance to one of not lending to coal-fired power plants in principle.
Recently,
Mizuho Financial Group has expressed interest in investing in medical
startups through investment funds but has been facing difficulties in
stepping up investment in the field. This stems from the significant amount
of time and cost required to win pharmaceuticals' approval.
The group
has thus decided to establish a fund focusing on life sciences with high
growth potential.
Last year,
Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund GIC Private Limited has invested in
Vietnamese lender Vietcombank through a joint deal with Mizuho Bank worth
VND6.2 trillion ($269.57 million) demonstrating the strong interest in
Vietnam’s financial sector.
PYN Elite fund looks back on
multiple months of consecutive loss during COVID-19
Finland-headquartered
fund PYN Elite, which is a shareholder of 70 Vietnamese listed firms –
including high-profile names such as VietinBank, TPBank, and PAN Group – has
reported its sixth consecutive month of loss. Last month saw VND2.451
trillion ($106.57 million) of the fund's value evaporating. Its deep losses
followed a rough patch for the VN-Index.
PYn Elite
fund’s net asset value (NAV) per share tumbled by 29 per cent compared to the
beginning of the year.
In March,
local bourse VN-Index fell 25 per cent, which also led to PYN Elite plunging
nearly 27 per cent.
PYN Elite’s
representative said, “The crash in oil price, coupled with indiscriminate
selloff, have been a brutal comeuppance for the equity market. Central banks
across the globe have taken bold steps to ward off signs of an economic
fallout.”
March was
also the S&P 500’s most volatile month ever, as frenetic swings whipsawed
the market from steep gains to even steeper losses, according to CNBC.
Elsewhere, efforts to contain the virus have pushed European and Asian
markets into further loss. Japan’s Nikkei ended the first quarter down 20.04
per cent – its worst quarter since the fourth quarter of 2008, while South
Korea’s KOSPI lost 20.16 per cent. The VN-Index followed suit, tumbling 31
per cent year to date to reach 662.53 points as of March 31.
PYN Elite,
though losing 29 per cent year-to-date, might have slightly better prospects,
the representative explained.
In fact, the
foreign fund has been rather bullish about the performance of the local stock
market.
Petri
Deryung, director of the fund, signalled that the fund would purchase more
shares down the road in case of favourable conditions and attractive
valuation.
“VN-Index
has good prospects to reach 1,800 points,” the fund said previously.
Particularly,
the fund approached the stock pullback with a positive outlook, saying it
would go all in and pour all its money into the stock market – which is
easier said than done.
PYN Elite
Fund is no longer a major shareholder of DIC Investment and Trading JSC since
its ownership was reduced to 2.04 per cent. Earlier in March, the fund also
slashed its holdings in Tasco JSC and DIC Investment and Trading JSC, among
others. Most recently, on April 9, PYN Elite also sold 1.36 million shares in
large-cap firm Mobile World Group (MWG).
All in all,
the fund has offloaded a total of 27 million shares in the Vietnamese stock
market in recent months.
Banking
sector – Striking while the iron is hot?
While Vietnamese banks are particularly vulnerable to the global health challenge, PYN Elite appears to have taken a more optimistic view of bank stocks.
Last year,
the State Bank of Vietnam asked financial institutions to gradually reduce
the proportion of short-term capital for medium- and long-term loans from the
current 40 to 30 per cent over the next three years. The SBV also
demonstrated the central banks’ determination to tighten credit for risky
sectors, such as real estate. High-risk borrowers such as BOT project
investors would find it harder to access loans.
Since then, firms
find less leverage, while holding much more cash.
Vietnam’s
top 50 companies have a net debt-to-equity ratio of 32 per cent, which is
lower than that of US and European counterparts. Smaller firms cannot get
loans without collateral. In short, Vietnamese firms might be less risky for
investors in case markets see a return of volatility.
On the other
hand, just a few Vietnamese firms issue USD bonds since the domestic capital
market has not completely opened up to foreign investors. Hence, external uncertainties
have been limited in the past few months.
Taking a
look at PYN Elite’s portfolios, the bank group still holds the majority of
funds, such as TPBank (10.94 per cent), VietinBank (7.99 per cent), or HD
Bank (7.49 per cent).
“Our
invested firms can make it through the escalating tension whereas higher
borrowing costs and weaker export demand. The average net debt-to-equity
ratio for our core firms is 27 per cent. Furthermore, more than half of our
invested firms have net cash position, and most of them focus on the domestic
market, except FPT exporting its IT services,” said the fund.
However, at
the end of last year, PYN Elite also talked highly of MWG's growth prospect –
before selling half of its shares in the firm.
Indonesia expects to see
economic recovery in Q4
Indonesia's
economy is likely to begin recovering in the last quarter of 2020 before the
growth accelerates in 2021 with an expected expansion of between 4.5 and 5.5
percent, according to Indonesian Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati.
Due to the
COVID-19's impacts, the country's economy would be under extreme pressure in
the second and third quarters of 2020 when it would likely grow by minus 2
percent, the minister said.
The
government will focus efforts on raising the resilience of businesses and
attracting investors to put their capital in Indonesia, according to the
minister.
Indonesia
would also join hands with other countries in efforts to deal with the
economic meltdown due to the disease that has been spreading worldwide.
To help the
government contain the national economic slowdown, the central bank, Bank
Indonesia, has taken several measures including trying to maintain its
foreign exchange reserves which are expected to be used for intervention in
the financial market so as to prevent the rupiah from devaluating during this
difficult time.
For the time
being, only manufacturing industry receives tax incentives, but the
government will give the same treatment to 11 more industries including
transportation, hotel business and trade.
The
Indonesian currency was up by 1.12 percent to 15,465 per one USD on April 17,
compared to 15,640 rupiah against the greenback on the previous day./.
Travel firms ask for support
to overcome impacts of COVID-19
The HCM City
Department of Tourism said it has submitted to the State Bank of Vietnam a
list of 31 travel and tourism firms that are seeking help to make it through
the disruption caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.
They want
new loans, cuts in their bank loan interest rates and more time for repayment
so that they could remain in business and keep their employees.
The tourism
industry is in urgent need of Government assistance to retain its workforce
and recover as soon as the pandemic ends, Tran The Dung, deputy director of
Young Generation Travel, said.
Nguyen Quoc
Ky, general director of Vietravel, said the industry, which has been
accounting for more than 10-11 percent of the city’s economy for the last few
years, needs a relief package from the Government.
It is now
difficult for travel firms to get loans from banks since most of them have no
assets to mortgage, he said.
Nguyen Thi
Khanh, deputy head of the city Tourism Association, said the pandemic has
crippled businesses and caused the loss of thousands of jobs.
Businesses find it difficult to access aid packages from the Government and banks, she said.
In the first
quarter, 90 percent of more than 1,000 small and medium-sized travel
businesses in the city suspended operations as the coronavirus brought
tourism to a standstill.
Businesses
in the city project losses of trillions of VND in the second quarter./.
VNN
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Thứ Tư, 22 tháng 4, 2020
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