It’s not
time to let our guards down yet
Cập nhật lúc 01:45
We’re only entering the tenth day of a two-week
nationwide social distancing order in this tough fight against microbial
enemies, which are totally new and unpredictable.
A week since social distancing
was put in place, people in Hà Nội have become complacent and
started gathering in public places. - VNA/VNS Photo Minh Quyết
But as the
number of infected cases of COVID-19 seems to be going down in Việt Nam,
people have started feeling more relaxed, and the streets are filling up
again.
I understand
many people have to leave their homes to make a living.
I also
understand many might be bored being locking up by themselves during this
social distancing phase.
But the fact
is the COVID-19 pandemic has shown no signs of abating yet. As of
April 9, the coronavirus pandemic had infected more than 1.5 million people.
At least 94,000 people have died, and the virus has been detected in at least
177 countries.
It’s crucial
to recall these figures at this point in time when there’s no vaccine
for the virus. Companies are racing against time to develop one, but a
vaccine would take at least 12 to 18 months before it
is available. The only tool to fight the spread of COVID-19 now is
strictly following social distancing guidelines.
In the past
two months, Việt Nam has managed to keep the number of cases quite low
compared to other countries, regardless of the fact that it shares a
border with China, the epicentre of the pandemic. The Government acted
quickly to stop international flights, quarantine incoming passengers and
isolate all infected cases and anyone they might have come into contact with.
Huge efforts by the military, healthcare sectors and others have been made to keep
a large part of the population safe.
Part of what
is helping is social distancing. This period may even be extended since
we haven’t been able to track down the transmission sources of a number of
cases. Community transmission has become real.
Many people
may think they can simply protect themselves by avoiding
those at high-risk or those with symptoms of respiratory illnesses,
but it’s not that simple. Studies have shown that many people can carry
the novel coronavirus without showing any symptoms, such as fever, dry
cough or shortness of breath.
A study by
the Huazhong University of Science and Technology in Wuhan, China, said that
during the aggressive outbreak in their city, over 50 per cent of cases were
non-confirmed, and that these may have included people with no or limited
symptoms who had the potential to remain socially active.
Another
study in the journal JAMA showed that one person who had no symptoms can
actually pass the virus on to five other people. If these individuals
continued their social interactions without knowing they were infected, many
more people would be at risk.
The
Vietnamese Government has predicted more community infections over the next
few days related to cases with complicated travelling histories as well as
zoned outbreaks at Bạch Mai Hospital in Hà Nội and Buddha Bar in HCM City.
For these
reasons, what we need right now is to continue the full
implementation of social distancing to help slow the stealthy spread of this
new coronavirus.
Although the
health sector said it's prepared for a scenario of 10,000 cases of
COVID-19, we wouldn’t want that to happen.
Many of us
believe that this virus is doing nothing more than stopping our day to day
lives. But for many others working on the front line, it’s much more
than that.
Over the
past few months, many doctors and nurses haven’t been able to
return home to hug their children, to sleep in their beds or
have dinner with loved ones. So many soldiers have given up their
beds and blankets for people going into quarantine. And many
technicians at the Centre for Disease Control and Prevention are working
day and night, spending hours and hours in the lab to conduct tests.
Many others are having sleepless nights during this battle, whilst
bearing a huge workload as they battle to contain the pandemic.
We just
can’t ease up too soon and set back all the progress that's been made.
It’s now
only a matter of time before scientists discover solutions for the
pandemic. We're buying time and trying to slow down the spread of virus when
scientists can get the testing done and doctors can get the equipment
needed. During this wait, the healthcare system can stem the
fatality rate and treat patients using ventilators and intensive
care units, if they are available. They can only do that if we don’t allow
them to become overloaded with new cases.
Việt Nam is
taking the time to prepare for different scenarios. If the public takes
social distancing seriously, burdening and overwhelming the medical system
can be avoided. We don’t know for sure what might happen tomorrow or
the next day, but we can slow or stop the spread of the virus and decrease
the number of cases. Much of how the coronavirus pandemic unfolds in Việt Nam
will come down to each person’s choices. Each of us who can limit our social
contact can break the chain of the contagion.
For many of
us who don’t have to go out to sell food on the street to make a living,
for example, staying home and social distancing is a privilege. There’re so
many ways to keep yourself from going insane: read a good book, listen
to music, cook some good food, bake a cake, clean your home, watch movies,
learn to dance, group video chats, and sharing memes!
I understand
it might be uncomfortable and lonely staying at home, but we have to think
about the collective rather than the individual. We’re not only
protecting ourselves by staying at home but also protecting others who
are vulnerable to the risks. It might be slow, it might not be perfect, and
is socially and economically disruptive, but it can save lives.
Experts
predict the virus will be around for quite some time, and it will
come in waves. So social distancing might stop for a while and then
start again. Until we have a vaccine for it, we need to be patient.
A lesson
from the past can be retold in this time of crisis: After authorities
in Toronto relaxed requirements for close contact and personal
protective equipment after the first wave of the SARS epidemic in 2003,
transmissions resurged and the second wave lasted as long as the first one.
So we have to be patient to see it through and can’t pull the
trigger too early.
Believe me I
do want to get out of this mess and back to my normal life just as quickly as
you do. Social distancing is an abnormal thing in this connected and
integrated world. But if we don’t follow the requirement strictly and stay at
home, it might become the new norm.
VNS
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Thứ Sáu, 10 tháng 4, 2020
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