Three messages of the
Vietnamese Prime Minister
Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung and
Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong in at Shangri-La. Photo: Tuoi Tre
More than 400 politicians, diplomats, militarians and
scholars were present at the Shangri-La Security Dialogue 2013. But the
audience were the governments and the people in the region, even from outside
the region such as the EU – the entity that wants to participate in the
dialogue from next time.
Win with trade, lose with conflict
When classical economist David Richardo mentioned the
comparative advantage between countries as a condition to promote trade,
perhaps he also wanted peace for nations. Because, once they focus on trade,
countries will have to reduce conflicts.
In fact, since 1945 the human race has not had to
witness the third world war, and one of the important reasons is that all
countries are aware of the importance of building prosperity. Prosperity and
happiness, peace and friendliness are the values that can prevent fears
and the motivation to go to war.
In the theory of international relations, the
conditions for cooperation among nations is a win-win situation. Although the
ideal ratio is 50/50 or 70/30 but it always happens is that both sides will
benefit.
For example, joining the WTO, countries can suffer loss
in this market but in other markets they will benefit.
Richardo was right and today even the opposing opinion
or group interest cannot stop the trend of liberalization of global trade.
For example, protection groups cannot stop the free trade agreements that are
booming in Asia-Pacific region. Besides RCEP, which is initiated by ASEAN,
are TPP and a series of FTAs with deep commitment to freedom.
But the beautiful painting of trade is being
threatened. Trade needs transport routes. Assuming a conflict occurs in the
In war, no side wins. In addition to mobilizing
resources for the war machine that should have been reserved for schools,
hospitals, amusement parks, nations must accept the sacrifice of their
children. In the wake of the global conscience, plus the tremendous impact of
the media, the price to pay for a gunshot is not small.
Nations should always be aware of the danger of
threatening behavior, coercion, aggression and more dangerously, it is the
use of violence in international relationships -- that is the first message
of the Vietnamese Prime Minister in Shangri-La.
Faith - prerequisite of peace
The second message and also the subject of the speech
of Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung, is the strategic trust, even though
countries in the region have tried to build trust.
For example, in the three processes of the ASEAN
Regional Forum (ARF), the first process is to build trust. Two other
processes are preventive diplomacy and conflict resolution. The Shangri-La
Dialogue is also a good tool to build trust. In addition, the existing
regional cooperation mechanisms such as the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF), East
Asia Summit (EAS), ASEAN Defense Ministers’ Meetings Plus (ADMM+) as well as
the Shangri-La Dialogue offer the opportunities to foster multilateral
security cooperation and find solutions to the arising challenges and the
measures to build trust. But it is not enough.
The problem is not only the quantity but also the
quality. Trust must be deep enough, must be made at a strategic level. It
must be seen as an asset, a general obligation of all countries in the
region.
But reality is not what you expect, otherwise there
would have not had increase in defense spending of other countries in the
region in 2012, which far exceeded the total national income of many
countries in the region; there would have not had conflict and collision in
the East Sea and East China Sea; there would have not had tension on the
Korean peninsula; and the countries that share the Mekong River would have
had more cooperative behaviors on the Mekong mainstream.
That fact will worsen if the region does not really
focus on building trust. Trust is the only way to help the countries overcome
the "security dilemma" in which country A’s improvement of its
national capacity interpreted by country B as an action to prepare
aggression; in turn, when country B builds its national power in order to
improve response capabilities, country A will have the same interpretation.
In relations between countries in the feudal period,
sometimes building positive attitudes generally was only done through things
as security. Nowadays, it seems that the confidence-building is more
difficult because the society, population and everything are in larger-scale
and more complex. The world is unpredictable and there is no room for miscalculation.
Those who follow the realism in international relations say that competition
between nations is inevitable. But they do not believe that war is
inevitable. Because alternating between conflicts of benefits and violence is
the conflict management capacity of human beings.
In this context, the
Trust has helped nations sign millions of agreements
with each other. The common protocol of the world today is to avoid a major
war. But what is happening in the region shows that for good governance of
disputes, all must begin from trust.
The primary responsibility belongs
to big powers
The speech by Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung also
pointed the third message: major countries play a particularly important role
in this process, in maintaining peace and stability of the world and the
region.
After all, international relations are dominated by the
relationship between the major powers. It is practical standpoint. So when
the big countries cannot "sit" together, the remaining countries
have reason to worry. On the other hand, the small and medium countries also
do not want compromise among the major countries to sacrifice their
interests.
From their perspective, the small countries cannot
evade responsibility and show goodwill. The messages that
And the world has awaited the moment
In the past years, sustained high economic growth has
enabled
Peacekeeping is a shared responsibility of large and
small countries, in which big countries must have greater responsibility. If
large countries do not prove to be so, they will lose confidence in
themselves and thereby also take away a part of the world’s trust.
Thach Ha
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Thứ Hai, 3 tháng 6, 2013
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