Vietnam awaits Trans-Pacific
Partnership signing
At the close of the latest round of the Trans-Pacific
Partnership (TPP) negotiations, chief negotiators were quoted as saying the
finish line is in sight and they expect to cross it in the first quarter of
2015.
The twelve countries
negotiating the TPP include the US,
Japan, Canada, Singapore,
Mexico, Australia, Malaysia,
Chile, Peru, New
Zealand, Brunei
and Vietnam.
Collectively they account
for 22.9% of the world’s land mass, 11.2% of the population, 38.6% of the
gross domestic product (GDP), 19.3% of the export value and 21.1% of the
import value.
The latest available
statistics show that Vietnam’s
export turnover to other TPP member countries jumped more than threefold in
the eight years leading up to 2015 to strike US$51.58 billion while its
imports were US$30.17 billion.
Through the TPP, Vietnam is
seeking to help establish a trade and investment framework that supports job
creation, promotes the nations competitiveness and expands trade.
Vietnam’s participation in the TPP
is well founded as there is near unanimity among leading economists that the
nation’s economy will be the largest beneficiary on the TPP track.
The TPP will promote strong
trade with the US and other member nations, provide high protection for the
apparel and footwear sector in foreign markets, which are Vietnam’s principal
exports, and it will put Vietnam in a strong competitive position in these
and other manufacturing industries where China’s comparative advantage is
fading.
Specifically they have said
the TPP will help create favourable conditions for the nation’s exports to
grow thanks to such factors as the huge market and zero import tariffs on
substantially all exports – which will benefit Vietnam’s strengths in the
garment and textile, footwear, seafood, wood products and agriculture
sectors.
On the reverse side
however, the reduction of import tariffs TPP will bring with it fierce
competition in the domestic market and some key products of the country will
meet increased challenges including pork, beef, sugar, wine, egg and paper to
name only a few.
Vietnam is blessed with a young
and highly-educated workforce, a sizeable domestic market and geographical
advantages. The TPP will increase Vietnam’s appeal as an investment
destination and increase the flow of foreign direct investment (FDI).
It will result in higher
incomes for Vietnamese workers and enable the country to invest more in own
economy and grow more rapidly. This growth will in turn amplify the country’s
competitive advantages, they have said.
Economists also have said
that the TPP brings with it some challenges.
Most significantly it will
require domestic economic and industrial structural changes. This will be
difficult, particularly for a developing country like Vietnam that
needs time and long-term strategy for upgrading its industrial base.
Another challenge is the
negative ramifications to the State budget. When the TPP comes into effect,
it will place a burden on the State budget as revenues from import tariffs
decline.
The TPP is a new
model of economic
cooperation that Vietnamese businesses and citizens nationwide are anxiously
awaiting to come into effect for the common socio-economic development of the
nation.
VOV
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