VN stocks to decline on lower oil prices
HÀ NỘI -
Vietnamese stock markets may decline this week as lower crude prices,
resulting from the disagreement between major oil producers on Sunday which
may drag energy stocks down.
The
benchmark VN Index on the HCM Stock Exchange on Friday inched up 0.1 per cent
to finish the week at 579.86 points. The southern index gained 1.3 per cent
from the previous week.
The HNX
Index on the Hà Nội Stock Exchange declined very slightly on Friday to end
the week at 80.26 points. The northern index remained nearly flat over the
week.
Oil prices
may fall further into negative territory, hitting investor confidence after
major producers, such as Saudi Arabia and Russia, failed to reach an
agreement on freezing output to stabilise prices.
The talks
broke down after Saudi Arabia said a deal would only be reached if Iran
joined in, which was considered a disappointing stance, given that the other
producers had already agreed to the pact.
Iran had
earlier refused Saudi Arabia’s demand to join the deal, wanting to raise its
output to pre-sanctions levels. Sanctions against the country were removed
earlier this year. Iran’s stance had also prevented other producers from
arriving at a production ceiling in December to steady prices.
Investors
and traders will now have to wait until the next OPEC meeting in June to see
if any progress is made on the production freeze. Crude prices are expected
to reach the balance point in mid-2017, instead of mid-2016, which was
earlier forecast.
US crude
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) slumped 4.8 per cent to trade at US$38.43 per
barrel yesterday in early trading. US crude has dropped 8.9 per cent in the
last four sessions.
US crude hit
a four-month high of $42.17 per barrel, an increase of nearly two-thirds from
the 12-year low of $26.21 per barrel on February 11.
Meanwhile,
London-traded Brent crude fell 4.3 per cent to trade at $41.27 per barrel,
extending its losing streak of 7.7 per cent for a fourth day of trading.
Brent had
soared 60 per cent to reach a three-month high of $44.69 per barrel last
Tuesday from a record-low of $27.88 per barrel in late January.
Last week,
investors could seek profits from the recent gains in energy stocks.
Among energy
firms, PetroVietnam Gas Corp (GAS) jumped 5 per cent during the week,
PetroVietnam Drilling and Well Service Corp (PVD) added 2.6 per cent,
PetroVietnam Technical Service Corp (PVS) gained 2.5 per cent, and
PetroVietnam Coating Corp (PVB) was up by 0.9 per cent.
However, investor confidence may decline as analysts
have shown little faith in a possible deal between oil producers and its
positive effects on the global glut. The
decline in energy stocks may also erode investor confidence in other stocks,
especially the blue chips that made gains last week, including Vietcombank
(VCB), property developer Vingroup JSC (VIC) and insurer Bảo Việt Holdings on
the southern bourse, and Tiền Phong Plastic JSC (NTP), An Phát Plastic and
Green Environment JSC (AAA) on the northern bourse.
VCB, VIC and
BVH advanced by 2.7 per cent, 9.5 per cent and 4 per cent, respectively. AAA
and NTP increased by 1.2 per cent and 3.9 per cent.
Securities
corps, such as HCM City Securities Corp (HCM), Sài Gòn-Hà Nội Securities Corp
(SHS), VNDirect Securities Corp (VND) and Bảo Việt Securities Corp (BVS),
also saw gains last week.
Both local
markets traded nearly 192 million shares per day worth VNĐ3.1 trillion
($137.5 million), an increase of 16.5 per cent in trading value and 12 per
cent in trading volume from the previous week. - VNS
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Thứ Ba, 19 tháng 4, 2016
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