Dong appreciates despite devaluation by State Bank
The dollar price
has been falling for one week, despite the State Bank of
The dollar price quoted by Vietnamese
commercial banks on July 14 was even lower than before the dong/dollar
exchange rate was adjusted by the bank.
Vietcombank, for example, sold
dollars at VND21,200 per dollar on that day. Eximbank and ACB quoted the
dollar price at VND21,220 per dollar.
Meanwhile, the dollar price quoted by
commercial banks on the days before June 19, the day when the central bank
adjusted the exchange rate, was at the ceiling level of VND21,246 per dollar.
As such, the dong value against the
dollar has increased in comparison with the days prior to June 19, which was
not expected by the State Bank.
The move by the central bank to
devaluate the dong by one percent in mid-June was believed to aim to help
boost exports.
Escalating tension in the
A banker said the central bank had
its reasons to adjust the dong/dollar exchange rate in mid-June.
In general, the days at the end of
the second quarter are the time when demand for dollars increases, as Vietnamese
enterprises need dollars to make payment for imports, while foreign invested
enterprises in
The exchange rate adjustment then
brought prompt effects. Commercial banks immediately raised the dollar,
quoting prices to VND21,340-21,380 per dollar starting from June 19.
However, the upturn stopped. The US
dollar price has been decreasing in the last week thanks to an abundant
dollar supply from ODA (official development assistance), foreign direct
investment (FDI) and foreign portfolio investment (FPI).
It is doubtful if the State Bank will
continue devaluing the dong, since its latest exchange rate adjustment did
not depreciate the dong or help boost exports.
Meanwhile, a banking expert commented
that it is still too early to say if the State Bank’s latest devaluation of
the dong can help boost exports.
He admitted that the dong has been
appreciating, but said this is just a temporary phenomenon in the context of
abundant supply.
He went on to say that it is still
necessary to wait until the end of July to know if the State Bank will adjust
the exchange rate once more, because enterprises have the habit of buying
dollars at month-end.
Once the dollar demand increases by
the end of the month, the dollar price may return to the track the State Bank
wants it to go.
In the latest news, the State Bank
Exchange on July 15 unexpectedly raised the dollar buy price by VND100 per
dollar to VND21,200 per dollar. The selling price stood at VND21,400 per
dollar.
TBKTSG
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Thứ Năm, 17 tháng 7, 2014
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