FDI capital heads for Vietnam after leaving
China
Vietnam has been urged to prepare for foreign direct investment (FDI) flow
from companies leaving China
because of unfavorable business conditions there.
Reports all show that South Korean, Japanese and Western
investors have been decreasing their investments in China.
According to the South Korean Ministry of Finance, the country’s investment
in China dropped by 32.1
percent in the last six months, a very sharp decrease if noting that China is
always the Number 1 choice for South Korean investors, thanks to the advantageous
position and cultural similarities.
South Korean media in late 2014 also reported that the number of South Korean
businesses in China
decreased by half compared to 10 years ago.
China’s
August PMI (purchasing managers index) released by Caixin Media and Markit
Economics dropped dramatically to a 6-year low to 47.
According to the two institutions, once the PMI drops to below 50, this means
that production has reduced.
Bui Kien Thanh, a renowned economist, said that the investment outflow from China is inevitable as China is
losing its attractiveness in international investors’ eyes.
China
raised its minimum wage by 17 percent last year and plans to raise the wage
by 13 percent a year in the context of the global economic recovery, the drop
in oil prices and unpredictable exchange rates.
In the first seven months of the year, 25 South Korean invested projects in
Binh Duong province received licenses, while another 14 South Korean invested
projects got approval to increase capital.
A report from the South Korean finance ministry showed that South Korean
investment in Vietnam
increased sharply by 82.2 percent in the first half of 2015.
Vietnam is now in the second
position, after Singapore,
in South Korean outward investors’ list of the fastest growing markets.
The strong rise in the South Korean investment in Vietnam
is partly attributed to the signing of the Vietnam
– Republic of Korea’s free trade agreement in May
2015.
Analysts commented that Vietnam has two options now, either opening its doors
widely to receive all foreign investors, or becoming more selective in
attracting foreign investment.
Thanh warned that if the former is chosen, Vietnam may fall into the
‘low-cost labor trap’, i.e., it would become the world’s production base
thanks to the cheap labor force.
With the second option, the foreign investment flow to Vietnam may go slowly and Vietnam may miss a lot of great opportunities,
especially when Myanmar
and neighboring countries have laid out red carpet to welcome investors.
Robert Tran from Canadian Robenny Group, a consultancy firm, said Vietnam
should be selective in attracting foreign direct investment, or it would have
to pay heavy price in environmental damages.
DDDN
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