Brexit to leave no immediate impact on Vietnam’s stocks,
trade ties with UK: experts
People watch the
electronic display board at the Maybank Kim Eng Securities Co in Ho Chi Minh
City on June 24, 2016. Tuoi Tre
Vietnam’s stock market
reacted immediately to Britain's vote to leave the European Union, but
industry insiders believe immediate Brexit impacts on the market as well as
the bilateral trade ties between the two countries are unlikely.
Shortly
after the Brexit vote results were announced on Friday, Vietnam's benchmark
VN-Index fell 35 points to below 600 points as the afternoon session began.
The index grew to 620.77 points at the close, as investors later became much
calmer. Liquidity was high, with VND4.8 trillion (US$214.29 million) worth of
shares traded.
Global stock
markets also lost
about $2 trillion in
value on Friday after Britain voted to leave the EU,
while sterling suffered a record one-day plunge to a 31-year low and money
poured into safe-haven gold and government bonds, Reuters reported
on Saturday.
The blow to
investor confidence and the uncertainty the vote sparked could keep the U.S.
Federal Reserve from raising interest rates as planned this year, and even
spark a new round of emergency policy easing from major central banks,
according to Reuters.
However,
Phan Dung Khanh, investment advisory director with Maybank Kim Eng Securities
Co., said the Vietnamese stock market was only shaken for a short time as
investors were blindsided, having expected Britain to vote to stay in the EU
before the official voting results.
Investors
rushed to sell shares when the results were against their expectation, which
explains the high liquidity for the Friday session, Khanh added.
In the
meantime, the euro and British pound sterling also fell dramatically on
Vietnam’s foreign exchange market. The GBP closed Friday at VND31,142, down
VND2,112 from a day earlier, according to Eximbank. At Vietcombank, the
sterling lost VND2,155, selling at VND31,155. Eximbank listed the EUR at
VND25,107, down VND383 from a day earlier.
Gold prices
in Vietnam ended yesterday at VND35.1 million ($1,567) a tael (37.5 grams),
losing VND800,000 ($35.71) from Thursday.
Economic
expert Le Trong Ninh said the Brexit will weak the GBP against the USD, affecting
the VND, and the State Bank of Vietnam will have to enact stronger measures
to stabilize the market.
Ninh added
however that the market will be able to adjust itself to adapt to the new
situation.
No significant impact on trade
In terms of
bilateral trade ties between Vietnam and the UK, industry insiders said the
situation will become a little rougher in the immediate term, but there will
be no significant impacts from the Brexit.
Vu Duc
Giang, chairman of the Vietnam Textile and Apparel Association (Vitas),
Britain’s vote to leave the EU will have certain impacts on the roadmap to
realize the free trade agreement between Vietnam and the EU in the coming
time.
However, the
affect will not be significant as the UK currently accounts for only 3 percent
of Vietnam’s textile export to the EU, he explained.
“In the
immediate term, export orders to the UK are unfazed,” he said. “There will
certainly changes in the longer term but I believe there will be no severe
impact for Vietnam’s textile industry.”
Similarly,
it is not likely for the Vietnamese footwear sector to be affected by the
Brexit, said Nguyen Duc Thanh, chairman of the Vietnam Leather, Footwear and
Handbag Association (Lefaso).
Compared
with other EU countries, the UK also accounts for a modest share of Vietnam’s
footwear export, so the impacts, if any, will not be significant, he
elaborated.
TUOI TRE NEWS
|
Thứ Bảy, 25 tháng 6, 2016
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