ADB: Growth at 6.7% in 2017
& 2018
Vietnam’s growth prospects have been revised upwards to 6.7 per cent
in both 2017 and 2018 compared to previous forecasts of 6.3 per cent and 6.5
per cent, respectively, in a supplement to the Asia Development Bank’s Asian
Development Outlook Update 2017 report, released on December 13.
The
first three quarters of 2017 saw GDP grow by 6.4 per cent, up from 5.9 per
cent in the same period of 2016, the report noted.
Growth
was driven by the manufacturing sector, which expanded 12.8 per cent in the
first three quarters of the year, the highest rate in the sector since
2011.
“Fourth-quarter
manufacturing growth, traditionally the sector’s strongest, is likely to
exceed growth over the first three quarters,” the report stated.
Services
growth also rose to 7.3 per cent from 6.7 per cent in the corresponding
period in 2016, driven by buoyant tourism and strong banking activity.
Agriculture
recovered and grew by 2.8 per cent in the first nine months as drought eased
in the Mekong Delta and the central highlands.
Industry
and construction remained strong despite a drag from the mining and oil
subsector, which contracted by 8.1 per cent in the first half of the year.
The
ADB forecasts that economic expansion in developing Asia will accelerate to 6
per cent in 2017 as stronger than expected exports and domestic consumption
fuel growth.
Excluding
Asia’s newly industrialized economies, growth is now expected at 6.5 per cent
this year.
“Developing
Asia’s growth momentum, supported by recovering exports, demonstrates that
openness to trade remains an essential component of inclusive economic
development,” said Mr. Yasuyuki Sawada, ADB’s Chief Economist.
“Countries
can further take advantage of the global recovery by investing in human
capital and physical infrastructure that will help sustain growth over the
long-term.”
Growth
in Southeast Asia is picking up faster than earlier forecasted, with GDP set
to expand by 5.2 per cent in 2017 and 2018, compared to forecasts in
September 2017 of 5 per cent and 5.1 per cent.
The
sub-region is benefiting from stronger investments and exports, with
accelerating growth in Brunei Darussalam, Malaysia, the Philippines,
Singapore, and Thailand. Infrastructure investment continued to play an
important role in Indonesia, the Philippines, and Thailand.
Robust
domestic demand - particularly private consumption and investment - will
continue to support growth in the sub-region, according to the report.
VN Economic Times
|
Thứ Tư, 13 tháng 12, 2017
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