Insurance fund may be insolvent by 2034
HA NOI (VNS)- The Viet Nam Social Security Fund (VSS) could
start showing a deficit by 2021 and run out of money by 2034 if no reforms
were made, according to the International Labour Oraganisation (ILO).
The warning was
given in an ILO report on actuarial valuation of the public pension scheme of
the fund, which was released at a workshop yesterday.
It provides a
financial projection of the present public scheme and analyses possible
reforms that could increase the fund's sustainability.
Currently, the VSS
scheme covers about 20 per cent of the labour force.
The present public
pension scheme of the VSS is characterised by low retirement ages, especially
for females.
A steadily ageing
population is emerging due to an increase in longevity and a decline in fertility,
according to the report.
Based on the
conservative assumption that the VSS coverage rate will rise to around 30 per
cent of the labour force in 50 years, it is projected that the fund will run
out of cash.
However, reform of
the Social Insurance Law is expected to get the green light from the National
Assembly next year, improving coverage for workers and ensuring the fund's
financial sustainability.
The VSS is meant
to cover all Vietnamese citizens with employment contracts of three months or
longer, but enforcement remains a challenge. At present, only one fifth of
the total workforce has social insurance.
Despite an
increase in compulsory contributions to VND89.6 trillion (US$4.2 billion)
last year from VND6.3 trillion ($285 million) in 2001, only 47 per cent of
all registered enterprises contributed to compulsory social insurance in
2010.
Viet Nam realised
it was entering an ageing phase when people aged over 60 accounted for more
than 10 per cent of the total population in 2012, five years ahead of
predictions.
With fewer young
workers in the future and a generous pension formula, the pension fund will
be in jeopardy unless urgent measures are introduced in the reform.
To ensure the
fund's sustainability, the report said
However,
retirement age reforms must be done slowly so that they do not impact on the
labour market in the short term, according to Hiroshi Yamabana from ILO
Financial and Actuarial Service.
The report
stressed that reforms to address financial sustainability as well as the
fairness of benefits between private-sector workers and civil servants must
be implemented together.
"The country
should also extend the coverage of the VSS pension scheme and support the
development of supplementary, voluntary pension schemes," he said.
ILO Viet Nam
Director Gyorgy Sziraczki said: "Social insurance reform is like driving
a big boat: the captain cannot wait until the last moment. Rather, it should
start turning even before seeing the obstacles in front. Unfortunately, the
ILO report shows that the obstacle is dangerously close.
"Government,
employers and workers need to work together urgently and find the right
balance to ensure pensions now and in the future," he said.
Besides ensuring
financial sustainability, other reforms were needed to protect workers after
retirement by making sure that employers contribute to the social insurance
fund based on total income instead of the basic salary in line with the new
Labour Code, he added.
Deputy Minister of
Labour, Invalids and Social Affairs Pham Minh Huan said that in the 2020-50
period, the rate of ageing in
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Thứ Sáu, 23 tháng 8, 2013
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