Financial
experts urge solutions to rescue flailing VN economy
THUA THIEN
HUE (VNS)- Viet Nam needs to implement strategic breakthroughs and macro
solutions to improve the economy, which is currently mired in depression,
said Assoc Prof Dr Tran Dinh Thien, director of the Viet Nam Economic
Institute, at the Autumn Economic Forum held in Hue yesterday.
Since joining the World Trade Organisation,
"The economy seems to be showing signs of recovery, but
actually it is on the way to the bottom of a depression, and we can no longer
blame objective, external causes," he said.
During seven years of economic depression, the Government has
implemented flawed short-term fixes rather than an overall solution, he said.
The lack of strategic action resulted in credit growth of only
6.5 per cent in the first half of the year and low social investment (30 per
cent of GDP).
"A total of 25,000 businesses shut down in the first six
months of the year, equal to the rate of the last two years," he said,
stressing, "
Weak policy planning is a major hindrance, Thien said, and the
lack of reliable data makes things even harder. Because many GDP figures
reported by provinces and cities are not accurate, the national GDP does not
offer a reliable basis for policy creation.
Moreover, the Government does not have sufficient resources
for restructuring the economy. Restructuring Vinashin alone could cost VND100
trillion (US$5 billion).
Thien suggested that two or three State owned corporations be
selected for restructuring, while the restructuring the banking system
focused on clearing bad debts.
He also recommended changes to the power price of coal and
electricity, payment of businesses' debts, wage adjustments and amendments to
the law on national budget.
As for medium-term solutions, Thien asked the Government to
change its strategy for attracting foreign investment.
Specialized economic zones should be placed at the entrance of
national key economic zones, he said, which would mean Quang Ninh - Hai Phong
for the north, Ba Ria - Vung Tau for the south and Da Nang - Chan May Lang Co
(Hue) for the central region.
Experts at the forum agreed with Thien and demanded further
discussion about specific solutions.
"What the economy is experiencing are the consequences of
six continuous years of depression of the macro economy," said Dr Tran
Du Lich, a member of the Economic Committee of the National Assembly (ECNA).
"To deal with the problem, we must examine our practices
and remove any illusions that the economy will recover," he noted.
Bakhodir Burkhanov, United Nations Development Programme
deputy country director in
"
ECNA Chairman Nguyen Van Giau pledged to inform the National
Assembly and the Government of the forum's conclusions so that they could be
put into practice.
The forum was sponsored by ECNA, UNDP, the Viet Nam Social
Science Academy and the Viet Nam Chamber of Commerce and Industry. - VNS
by Phuoc Buu
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Thứ Năm, 26 tháng 9, 2013
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