China remains thorn in side of Vietnam’s exporters
Doing business
with China is one of the biggest problems Vietnam has to deal with as it
integrates more deeply into the global economy, economists have said.
Vietnam needs to
develop products that are different from those produced by China.
“Any problems of the Chinese economy would have a strong impact on Vietnam because Vietnam
maintains a special trade relationship with China,” said Truong Dinh Tuyen,
former Minister of Trade, at the Spring Economic Forum held in late August.
Cyprus
makes up 0.2 percent of European GDP only. However, its crisis still could
shake European and the world’s stock markets. The impact would be much more
serious with China,
one of the world’s largest economy with $10 trillion in GDP, making up 23
percent of global economic growth.
Tuyen, who led the 11-year process of negotiation to join the WTO, said Vietnam has time to change its production
structure, which is now heavily reliant on China.
“Vietnam needs to go the
other way from China.
If Vietnam also develops
products China is
developing and with Chinese technologies, it will fail to compete with China,” Tuyen
said.
“If Vietnam follows the
way China
goes, it will fail,” Tuyen warned.
Vu Tien Loc, chair of the Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry (VCCI),
noted that dealing with China
is one of the most important matters Vietnam has to think of when
drawing up its plans for integration.
“Vietnam
has to become taller when standing next to the giant neighbor,” he said.
Meanwhile, Tran Dinh Thien, director of the Vietnam Economics Institute,
said: “Once Vietnam joins
the global game, it will have to cope with the giant (China)”.
Restructuring the economy
Thien said there were clear signs showing the Chinese economy was
worsening.
“The stock market fall and the exchange rate policy are clear evidence. They
show an economy with problems inside,” Thien said, adding once troubles occur
with the giant economy, Vietnam
will suffer because of its heavy reliance on the economy.
China
has to undergo a restructuring. A question has been raised about where the old
structure would go.
“Vietnam should not have
the old production structure China
wants to throw away,” Thien said.
“Vietnam’s industrial
production now heavily relies on China in input materials. It is
now the right time for us to ease the reliance and change our economic
structure,” he said.
Regarding the Chinese yuan devaluation, Thien said Vietnam should take full
advantage of the cheap input materials under the weaker yuan.
However, he emphasized that the advantage in price will only exist in the
short term.
The economist, while emphasizing there is a special relationship in
Vietnam-China trade, said it was necessary to lay down special policies for
the upcoming period.
Pham Huyen, VNN
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