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Bad debt ratio reports
show different figures due to different calculation methods
Credit institutions have reported the bad
debt ratio of Vietnam’s banking system at 3.86 percent, while the State
Bank’s Inspection Agency announced a bad debt ratio of 9.71 percent at the
end of February.
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Explaining the big difference in the two figures
released by credit institutions and the watchdog agency, Dao Quoc Tinh,
Deputy Chief of the State Bank’s Inspection Agency, said commercial banks
excluded some kinds of debts, while the inspectors counted those debts which
they believed were also “bad debts”.
The problem lies in the State Bank’s Decision No 780 on
debt classification, which came into force in April 2012. It stipulates that
local banks and foreign bank branches do not have to put into the bad debt
category those loans already rescheduled or extended, given the borrowers’
proven ability to repay.
The debt classification method being applied in
Vietnam, which uses lower standards than the international practice, was also
believed to be the main reason behind the big gap in 2013’s bad debt ratio
announced by the State Bank and Moody’s, a credit rating firm.
Moody’s, in its latest report released in February
2014, claimed that the bad debt ratio of Vietnamese banks had reached 15
percent by the end of 2013. The State Bank has rejected that figure,
insisting that the ratio had dropped from 4.73 percent by October 2013 to
3.63 percent by the end of 2013.
Meanwhile, the National Finance Supervision
Councilasserted that the bad debt ratio of the banking system had reached
9-10 percent by that time.
The central bank believes that Moody’s calculated
However, the explanation by the watchdog agency has not
satisfied economists, who say that the exceptionally high discrepancy cannot
serve policy making.
Nguyen Quoc Hung, Deputy Chair of the Vietnam Asset
Management Company (VAMC), an important tool of the government in the debt
settlement, said VAMC has bought over VND45 trillion worth of debts so far.
However, economists insistthat all VAMC has done is
just take the bad debts off of the banks’ balance sheets, and that the bad
debts have not really been settled yet.
A source said that VAMC has been able to take back over
VND400 billion worth of bad debts so far, while its plan to sell the bad
debtsis running into obstacles due to unreasonable policies.
“The situation is getting worse if nothing improves,”
said Nguyen Dinh Thien, Head of the Vietnam Economics Institute at the 2014
Spring Economic Forum.
“We should not rely on VAMC to settle bad debts. We
need cash,” he said. “In order to have cash, the State needs to accelerate
the state-owned enterprise equitization, sell the State’s stakes in some
enterprises, or even borrow money from foreign sources if necessary”.
Dat Viet
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Thứ Hai, 12 tháng 5, 2014
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