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NA sets three targets for 2016-2020
With 85.02 per cent of
delegates voting in favor, the National Assembly (NA) on November 8 has
adopted a resolution that sets three reform targets for the 2016-2020 period:
public investment, State-owned enterprises (SOEs), and financial
institutions.
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Total mobilized capital of VND10.57 quadrillion ($480
billion) is needed for annual GDP growth to average 6.5 to 7 per cent over
the next five years, Minister of Planning and Investment Nguyen Chi Dung said
at the ongoing NA session.
Mobilized capital to reform the economy is the total
resources required for socioeconomic development during the 2016-2020 period,
with an incremental capital output ratio (ICOR) estimated at 5 to 5.5 per
cent.
With a focus on corporations and enterprises, emphasis
is placed on the SOE reform process being “faster and stronger” and the
equitization process being transparent in line with the market mechanism.
SOEs that go through equitization must list on the
stock exchange one year before conducting an initial public offering (IPO)
and attracting strategic investors. Loss-making and ineffective investment
projects of State-owned enterprises (SOEs) will be set for bankruptcy under
the law.
In public investment, the government will drastically
reform budget expenditure and collections, ensuring the safety of public
investment and the national fiscal situation. “Practice savings on spending
within the ability of the economy. Strengthen the management and effective
use of borrowings, and only borrow within the capacity to repay and tightly
control borrowings by local governments and SOEs”, the resolution states.
Within the next five years the government is set to
reform financial institutions, speed up bad debt settlement, and have at
least 12 to 15 commercial banks applying Basel II standards.
The resolution sets a target for the budget deficit
being less than 3.5 per cent of GDP in 2020, government debt to be under 54
per cent of GDP, public debt to be under 65 per cent of GDP, foreign debt to
be lower than 50 per cent of GDP, and State investment to be 31-34 per cent
of total social investment.
Source: HSBC
“Setting the target of VND10.57 quadrillion ($480
billion) in mobilized capital is to try to reform the economy in a stronger
and more robust manner,” Minister Dung went on. “To conduct economic reform
based solely on the amount of resources is not enough. It is important to
utilize the resources effectively, starting from the use of State resources.”
Within the 10.57 quadrillion ($480 billion), it is
estimated that the contribution from the State budget at ministries,
authorities and provinces will account for the largest share, at an estimated
VND3.57 quadrillion ($180 billion).
During the 2016-2020 period, the FDI sector is expected
to contribute more than VND1.4 quadrillion ($68 billion). The government has
also included capital from ODA and preferential loans of $39.5 billion. Other
sources include SOE equitization funds of $15-20 billion during the 2016-2020
period.
Other resources must be mobilized but the target of the
plan is to not focus entirely on mobilizing numerous resources. “We need to
focus on adopting reform solutions and increasing economic competitiveness,
starting with investment effectiveness,” Minister Dung said. “This will
create a chain reaction so that the private sector and the FDI sector will
voluntarily come on board, which in turn will increase total investment
capital.”
Vietnam has set a GDP growth target of 6.7 per cent in
2017, equal to the target set for this year, while inflation is targeted at 4
per cent against the 5 per cent targeted for this year.
HSBC’s latest report, released in early November, put
GDP growth for 2016 at 6.2 per cent and 6.5 per cent for 2017; lower than the
government’s plan of 6.7 per cent. Inflation is expected to exceed 4.5 per
cent in 2017, 0.5 per cent higher than the government’s plan.
VN
Economic Times
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Thứ Tư, 9 tháng 11, 2016
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