Vietnamese get richer
thanks to new calculation method
For the majority
of Vietnamese, 2013 is a difficult year when they have to cut down expenses
to exist. Meanwhile, the General Statistics Office (GSO) at the end of the
year reported an impressive increase in the income per capita.
At the donors’ meeting on December 5,
2013, the Vietnamese Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung announced that the
Vietnamese income per capita had reached $1,960 per annum.
The figure released at the 2012
meeting was $1,600. As such, the Vietnamese income per capital has increased
sharply by $360, or by 22.5 percent just over the last year.
The high income per capita is really
a big surprise to Vietnamese, if noting that the GDP grows by 5.3-5.4 percent
only in 2013, while the inflation rate is 7 percent.
The sharp income increase has also
been reported by
The city’s report showed that its GDP
growth rate in 2013 is 9.3 percent, lower than the targeted level. However,
the GDP per capita reaches $4.513, higher than the targeted level at $4,000.
Chair of the HCM City People’s
Council Nguyen Thi Quyet Tam said at the meeting that it is questionable that
the city’s GDP growth rate is modest, while the GDP per capita increase is so
high. She asked to clarify this.
According to the HCM City Planning
and Investment Department, in 2012, the GDP per capita was calculated in
accordance with the 1994’s fixed prices, which showed the result of $3,600
per person.
The 2012 income per capita was
re-calculated in mid-2013 with the new calculation method, in accordance with
the 2010’s fixed prices, which showed the result of $,4000.
This means that the change in the
calculation method has helped every Vietnamese earn $400 more by the end of
2012.
The explanation remains enigmatic to
analysts. They cannot understand why the GDP growth rate is calculated in
accordance with comparable prices (the inflation excluded, on the same
denominator), while the GDP per capita is calculated in accordance with the
current prices.
GSO said that while collecting
information for the statistical work in recent years, it has found that the
released figures still cannot reflect all the real achievements. Therefore,
it spontaneously increased the scale of the added value in the banking sector
and the depreciation of population’s houses.
The GSO’s move has made economists
confused. The statistics released in 2012 and earlier have become
meaningless, because they cannot be used for comparison, once the statistics
do not have the same denominator.
GSO has been asked to explain the
changes in the calculation method before the public on mass media.
The big changes in the calculation
method and the differences in figures would create a lot of problems. What
figures will the Ministries of Finance and Planning and Investment refer to
when programming the state budget spending or government bond issuance.
The different calculation methods
have produced the two different figures with the wide gap of VND300 trillion.
This will lead to a big gap of tens of trillions of dong in the allowed
budget overspending (5.3 percent of GDP).
DNSG
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Thứ Hai, 30 tháng 12, 2013
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